ALP 34.9%
Incumbent MP
Rita Saffioti, since 2008.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
North-eastern fringe of Perth. West Swan covers southwestern parts of Swan local government area and a small part of Wanneroo local government area, including Ballajura, Brabham, Dayton, Ellenbrook, Henley Brook, Lexia, Malaga and Whiteman.
Redistribution
West Swan gained the remainder of Ellenbrook from Swan Hills and lost Aveley and Belhus to Swan Hills.
History
West Swan was newly created at the 2008 redistribution. The seat largely replaced the former seat of Ballajura, along with parts of other seats.
Ballajura had been held by the Liberal Party’s Rhonda Parker for one term from 1996 to 2001. John D’Orazio won the seat for the ALP in 2001, and was re-elected in 2005. D’Orazio left the ALP in 2006, and ran unsuccessfully for the neighbouring seat of Morley in 2008.
In 2008, West Swan was won by Rita Saffioti, then chief of staff to Premier Alan Carpenter. The notional margin of 10.6% was cut to 4.4%.
Saffioti was re-elected in 2013, with her margin cut further to 1.9%, but large swings in 2017 and 2021 made her seat much safer.
Assessment
West Swan is one of the safest Labor seats in the state.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Rita Saffioti | Labor | 20,635 | 77.9 | +19.2 | 78.7 |
| Dave Nesbit | Liberal | 3,122 | 11.8 | -13.7 | 11.2 |
| Manjot Singh | Greens | 1,038 | 3.9 | -2.3 | 3.8 |
| Brian Warburton | Australian Christians | 823 | 3.1 | +1.3 | 3.0 |
| Genevieve Cocliff | No Mandatory Vaccination | 438 | 1.7 | +1.7 | 1.7 |
| Lucky Saini | WAxit | 421 | 1.6 | +0.7 | 1.6 |
| Informal | 1,204 | 4.3 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Rita Saffioti | Labor | 22,278 | 84.2 | +15.7 | 84.9 |
| Dave Nesbit | Liberal | 4,194 | 15.8 | -15.7 | 15.1 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: north-east, south-east and south-west.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 82.9% in the north-east to 85.9% in the south-west.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-West | 85.9 | 4,244 | 18.0 |
| North-East | 82.9 | 2,905 | 12.3 |
| South-East | 85.1 | 1,261 | 5.3 |
| Pre-poll | 85.5 | 9,646 | 40.9 |
| Other votes | 84.1 | 5,547 | 23.5 |
Election results in West Swan at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
My prediction: Labor hold.