ALP 29.2%
Incumbent MP
John Carey, since 2017.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Central Perth. The seat of Perth covers the Perth CBD and areas to the north. The seat covers most of Perth and Vincent local council areas, including the suburbs of Mt Hawthorn, Leederville, Highgate, Northbridge and parts of East Perth and North Perth.
Redistribution
The seat of Perth contracted slightly in two spots, losing a small part of West Perth to Nedlands, and losing part of North Perth to Mount Lawley.
Perth existed as a seat from 1890 to 1950 and again since 1962. The seat had been won by the ALP at every election from 1968 until 2013, and has only lost the seat at two elections since the 1930s.
The seat was won by the Liberal Party’s Peter Durack in 1965. He lost the seat in 1968. He then went on to win a Senate seat in 1970. He served as federal Attorney-General from 1977 to 1983, and retired in 1993 after losing preselection.
Durack was defeated in 1968 by Terry Burke, son of former federal MP Tom Burke and older brother of Brian Burke. Brian Burke led the ALP to power in 1983, and served as premier until 1988.
Terry Burke held Perth for nineteen years, and resigned in 1987.
The 1987 by-election was won by Ian Alexander. He resigned from the ALP in 1991 during his second term and finished his term as an independent.
Diana Warnock won in 1993, and served two terms until 2001.
Labor’s John Hyde held Perth from 2001 until 2013, when he lost the seat to Liberal candidate Eleni Evangel with a swing of over 10%.
Evangel held Perth for just one term, losing to Labor’s John Carey in 2017. Carey was re-elected in 2021.
Assessment
Labor shouldn’t have any trouble holding off the Liberal Party here.
If the Greens were to find themselves competing for any lower house seats in Western Australia, as they do in east coast states, Perth would be a leading contender, but they don’t appear to be close to winning.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| John Carey | Labor | 16,594 | 63.5 | +16.3 | 63.4 |
| Kylee Veskovich | Liberal | 4,666 | 17.9 | -15.2 | 17.9 |
| Francesca Pandolfino | Greens | 4,177 | 16.0 | +1.5 | 16.0 |
| Scott Beard | No Mandatory Vaccination | 476 | 1.8 | +1.8 | 1.8 |
| Angelo Minniti | WAxit | 225 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| Informal | 858 | 3.2 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| John Carey | Labor | 20,719 | 79.3 | +16.6 | 79.2 |
| Kylee Veskovich | Liberal | 5,418 | 20.7 | -16.6 | 20.8 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 76.8% in the south to 83.7% in the centre.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranged from 16.9% in the north to 22.5% in the centre.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 16.9 | 82.1 | 4,674 | 18.9 |
| Central | 22.5 | 83.7 | 2,616 | 10.6 |
| South | 21.1 | 76.8 | 1,886 | 7.6 |
| Pre-poll | 12.9 | 77.7 | 9,684 | 39.1 |
| Other votes | 15.9 | 78.1 | 5,932 | 23.9 |
Election results in Perth at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
Without the Labor vote in Bassendean this should be marginal in 2025 and competitive for the libs in 2028 so will be an obvious target
@John the problem is (and this is the same for the federal seat of Perth and the federal and state seats of Adelaide) the Greens vote is increasing so it’s becoming like Macnamara where the Liberals usually finish first but Labor always manages to win on Greens preferences. In 2016 and 2019, the Liberals finished first in the federal seat of Perth but Labor won it on Greens preferences (I think it was around 54% Labor TPP on both occasions).
@np sry this was meant for the federal seat thread.
can general chat thread for WA be opened
Fed figures -> state seat of Perth
LIB: 25.1
ALP: 38
GRN: 27.4
OTH: 9.5
2nd strongest area for the Greens in WA. Greens could finish 2nd here but Labor should still win fairly easily.
I wonder if the Liberals would preference the Greens here, simply to make life more difficult for Labor if the Liberals finished third.
That 2021 Mark McGowan election was a huge outlier, unlikely to repeat ever again. I expect Labor’s vote to drop to around 40% with Greens and Libs fighting for second with both on somewhere around 25-30%
@Drake often the Liberals finish first though and Labor wins on Greens preferences.
Primary votes in Perth (state seat) since 1993:
1993: LIB 42.3%, ALP 39.3%, GRN 7.2%
1996: ALP 47.0%, LIB 37.1%, GRN 11.4%
2001: ALP 45.6%, LIB 32.1%, GRN 11.0%
2005: ALP 49.1%, LIB 33.0%, GRN 12.9%
2008: ALP 41.0%, LIB 36.7%, GRN 19.3%
2013: LIB 48.6%, ALP 36.1%, GRN 12.8%
2017: ALP 46.5%, LIB 33.8%, GRN 14.4%
2021: ALP 63.5%, LIB 18.0%, GRN 16.0%
ALP TPP in Perth (state seat) since 1993:
1993: 50.3% (ALP hold)
1996: 57.9% (ALP hold)
2001: 61.3% (ALP hold)
2005: 62.0% (ALP hold)
2008: 57.8% (ALP hold)
2013: 47.4% (LIB gain)
2017: 61.8% (ALP gain)
2021: 79.3% (ALP hold)
Note that most of those years were good years for WA Labor. Federally the Liberals finished first in the federal seat of Perth in both 2016 and 2019.
John Carey seems to be a popular local member here, expect him to hold Perth comfortably. Don’t think same can be said for Patrick Gorman in the federal seat of Perth.
Just drove past Hyde Park and there seemed to be around 80-100 Green volunteers preparing for a Doorknock.
@Malcolm, I agree. John Carey seems to be a lot more popular than Patrick Gorman.