ALP 17.4%
Incumbent MP
Robyn Clarke, since 2017.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Southern fringe of Perth. Murray-Wellington covers rural areas between Mandurah and Bunbury.
The district covers a large area including all of Murray and Waroona shires and most of Harvey Shire.
Redistribution
Murray-Wellington shifted south, gaining a small area from Collie-Preston and losing the remainder of the Mandurah council area to Dawesville.
History
The district of Murray-Wellington has existed since 1890. The seat was originally named “Murray”, and has changed names back and forth between “Murray” and “Murray-Wellington” seven times since 1911. Most recently, Murray-Wellington was renamed Murray in 2005 and restored to its current name in 2008.
The seat was held by the Liberal Party and its predecessors for over a century with only one exception, until Labor won in 2017.
John Bradshaw won the seat for the Liberal Party in 1983. In 1989, a redistribution saw Murray-Wellington split into the separate seats of Murray and Wellington, and Bradshaw moved to Wellington.
Keith Read won the seat of Murray for the ALP in 1989, before losing to the Liberal Party’s Arthur Marshall in 1993. Marshall moved to the seat of Dawesville in 1996, and held it until his retirement in 2005.
In 1996, Bradshaw moved back to Murray-Wellington, and held it until his retirement in 2005.
Murray Cowper won Murray in 2005. Cowper was elected to the renamed seat of Murray-Wellington in 2008, and he was re-elected in 2013.
Cowper lost Murray-Wellington in 2017, thanks to a swing of over 13% to Labor candidate Robyn Clarke. Clarke was re-elected in 2021.
Assessment
Murray-Wellington is the sort of seat which has usually been won by the Liberal Party, but it wouldn’t be one of the first seats to fall if the Liberals rebound from their 2021 landslide defeat. If the Liberals are competitive here, that suggests they are on track to at least be a much stronger opposition, but doesn’t in itself put them on track to win government.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Robyn Clarke | Labor | 14,486 | 57.9 | +21.2 | 58.0 |
| Michelle Boylan | Liberal | 6,099 | 24.4 | -5.1 | 24.2 |
| Mark McCall | Shooters, Fishers & Farmers | 1,149 | 4.6 | -1.5 | 4.5 |
| Leonie Lemmey | Nationals | 728 | 2.9 | -7.6 | 3.1 |
| Shaun Carney | Legalise Cannabis | 726 | 2.9 | +2.9 | 2.9 |
| Vince Puccio | Greens | 706 | 2.8 | -1.5 | 2.8 |
| Bernie Wansbrough | One Nation | 513 | 2.0 | -9.3 | 2.0 |
| Aimee Herriot | No Mandatory Vaccination | 281 | 1.1 | +1.1 | 1.1 |
| Andrew Brown | Sustainable Australia | 164 | 0.7 | +0.7 | 0.7 |
| Jayden Staszewski | Liberal Democrats | 110 | 0.4 | +0.4 | 0.4 |
| Dinko Golem | WAxit | 66 | 0.3 | +0.3 | 0.3 |
| Others | 0.1 | ||||
| Informal | 1,269 | 4.8 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Robyn Clarke | Labor | 16,816 | 67.2 | +15.5 | 67.4 |
| Michelle Boylan | Liberal | 8,193 | 32.8 | -15.5 | 32.6 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 61.4% in the centre to 66.6% in the north.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 66.6 | 4,233 | 17.0 |
| Central | 61.4 | 3,067 | 12.3 |
| South | 65.2 | 2,143 | 8.6 |
| Pre-poll | 70.0 | 10,076 | 40.5 |
| Other votes | 67.3 | 5,366 | 21.6 |
Election results in Murray-Wellington at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party, the Nationals and the Greens.
This seat on the past was a reliable liberal seat. No more…. the liberals need a 17% swing!
Mick, current polling indicates a swing of at least 10% against Labor. As a result, this seat is still considered ‘potentially winnable’ for the Liberals if they nominate a decent candidate and campaign strongly.
Although I do agree that this margin may be too high to overcome in one election cycle, so I see the current Labor MP hanging on to a marginal seat and then lose in the next election cycle (2029)
@ yoh an agreed but a liberal win cant be ruled out
Agree John, this is a ‘tossup’ type seat that could go either way at this election given that current polling has Labor with a 2PP lead under 55% (a swing of about 15% compared to 2021).
@yes i think the same can be said with Darling Range. and im inclined to say hthe same about Albany due to the controversial views of the Liberal candidate