Mount Lawley – WA 2025

ALP 21.9%

Incumbent MP
Simon Millman, since 2017.

Geography
Inner north-eastern Perth. Mount Lawley is part of the Eastern Metropolitan region for the Legislative Council, and lies immediately to the north of the Perth CBD. Most of Mount Lawley lies in the southeastern corner of Stirling local government area.

The remainder of the seat lies in Bayswater and Vincent council areas. The seat covers the suburbs of Yokine, Coolbinia, Menora and parts of Mount Lawley, Dianella, Morley, North Perth and East Perth.

Redistribution
Mount Lawley expanded slightly to the south-west, taking in parts of North Perth east of Fitzgerald Street.

History
The seat of Mount Lawley previously existed from 1950 to 1989, but was only restored at the last election in 2008. The seat has always been held by Liberals, with the exception of two terms when it was won by an independent Liberal.

Mount Lawley was held from 1962 to 1984 by Ray O’Connor. He briefly served as Premier from the retirement of Charles Court in 1982 until the ALP won government in 1983. He resigned in 1984, and the by-election was won by George Cash.

When Mount Lawley was abolished in 1989, Cash moved to the Legislative Council, where he served until his retirement in 2008.

The new seat of Mount Lawley largely replaced the seat of Yokine, which was abolished in 2008. That seat had been held by Labor MP Bob Kucera since 2001. Kucera was refused preselection in 2008 and finished his term as an independent.

In 2008, Mount Lawley was won by Liberal candidate Michael Sutherland. Sutherland was a Perth city councillor, and previously had served as a Johannesburg city councillor in the 1980s before moving to Australia. Sutherland was re-elected in 2013.

Sutherland lost to Labor candidate Simon Millman in 2017, and Millman was re-elected in 2021.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Simon Millman is not running for re-election.

  • Lucy Nicol (Greens)
  • Frank Paolino (Labor)
  • Michelle Sutherland (Liberal)
  • Assessment
    Mount Lawley is Labor’s 32nd-safest seat. If the election is a close contest, you would expect this seat to be in play. If the Liberal Party is only on track to win back its base, they probably won’t be competitive here.

    2021 result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Simon Millman Labor 14,653 59.0 +18.2 59.3
    Suzanne Migdale Liberal 5,807 23.4 -17.3 23.1
    Lucy Nicol Greens 2,768 11.1 -1.3 11.3
    John Watt No Mandatory Vaccination 549 2.2 +2.2 2.2
    Ellen Joubert Australian Christians 425 1.7 -0.8 1.6
    Russell Goodrick Western Australia Party 321 1.3 +1.3 1.2
    Herbie Schaal One Nation 203 0.8 +0.8 0.8
    Gurjant Singh Sangha WAxit 108 0.4 -1.1 0.4
    Informal 887 3.4

    2021 two-party-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Simon Millman Labor 17,768 71.6 +17.5 71.9
    Suzanne Migdale Liberal 7,063 28.4 -17.5 28.1

    Booth breakdown

    Polling places have been split into three parts: north-east, north-west and south.

    Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 70% in the north-west to 72.8% in the north-east.

    The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 8.8% in the north-east to 17.7% in the south.

    Voter group GRN prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
    North-West 10.5 70.0 3,823 14.8
    South 17.7 72.0 3,238 12.6
    North-East 8.8 72.8 2,505 9.7
    Pre-poll 9.6 72.7 8,881 34.5
    Other votes 11.9 71.8 7,330 28.4

    Election results in Mount Lawley at the 2021 WA state election
    Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

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    8 COMMENTS

    1. Cg, that would not be unsual because millman has served since 2017 (8 years in office at the time of the election). Many mps decide that two terms is long enough and want to do something else instead.

    2. This seat could be a three-way race given it’s partially an inner-city with a very strong Greens vote within Mount Lawley (the suburb) had a three-way primary race at the federal election.

    3. On fed figures

      LIB: 32.9
      ALP: 36.8
      GRN: 18.3
      OTH: 12

      This tended to be the Greens weakest part of the fed seat of Perth. Still would be worth campaigning heavily here to help out in Perth (fed) campaign.

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