ALP 26.9%
Incumbent MP
Michelle Roberts, since 1996. Previously Member for Glendalough 1994-1996.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Eastern Perth. Midland covers the suburbs of Guilford, Midland, Woodbridge, Viveash, Midvale, Stratton, Jane Brook, Swan View, Greenmount, Koongamia, Bellevue, Boya, Caversham and parts of Middle Swan. The seats cover parts of Mundaring and Swan councils.
Redistribution
Midland lost Helena Valley to Forrestfield, and gained the remainder of Caversham from Bassendean. These changes increased the Labor margin from 25.5% to 26.9%.
History
The seat of Midland was created at the 1996 redistribution, and has been held continuously throughout that time by Labor’s Michelle Roberts.
Roberts was first elected to the seat of Glendalough at a 1994 by-election after the resignation of former Premier Carmen Lawrence.
Glendalough was abolished in 1996, and Roberts won Midland.
She held Midland in 1996 with a 4.3% margin. This was expanded to 13.5% in 2001 before falling back 8.5% in 2005 and 8.3% in 2008.
Roberts was narrowly re-elected in 2013, winning by 24 votes after an 8.2% swing to the Liberal Party. Roberts was re-elected comfortably in 2017 and 2021.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Michelle Roberts is not running for re-election.
- Steve Catania (Labor)
- Julie Cottam (One Nation)
- Sarah Howlett (Independent)
- Jane Southworth (Legalise Cannabis)
Assessment
Midland is the kind of seat that Labor would only be on track to lose if they were doing particularly poorly. The conservative parties don’t need to compete here to win government.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Michelle Roberts | Labor | 16,684 | 65.8 | +16.6 | 67.0 |
| Jo Cicchini | Liberal | 4,892 | 19.3 | -9.9 | 18.0 |
| Brendan Sturcke | Greens | 1,697 | 6.7 | -2.2 | 6.6 |
| Ester Nabate | Australian Christians | 685 | 2.7 | +2.7 | 2.7 |
| Teresa Olow | One Nation | 545 | 2.1 | -5.8 | 2.2 |
| Steve Kelly | No Mandatory Vaccination | 399 | 1.6 | +1.6 | 1.6 |
| Brad Bedford | Western Australia Party | 360 | 1.4 | +0.5 | 1.4 |
| Mohit Bhasin | WAxit | 104 | 0.4 | -0.6 | 0.4 |
| Informal | 1,169 | 4.4 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Michelle Roberts | Labor | 19,131 | 75.5 | +12.6 | 76.9 |
| Jo Cicchini | Liberal | 6,221 | 24.5 | -12.6 | 23.1 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: north-east, south-east and west.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 72.2% in the south-east to 79.5% in the west.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-East | 72.2 | 3,186 | 13.3 |
| West | 78.9 | 3,116 | 13.0 |
| North-East | 78.6 | 1,901 | 7.9 |
| Pre-poll | 77.6 | 10,573 | 44.1 |
| Other votes | 76.5 | 5,188 | 21.6 |
Election results in Midland at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
Michelle Roberts retiring.
God half of the Parliament is gonna retire.
@np yea but some may not be voluntarily
I reckon Midland may have strong local independent run. It’s the Ipswich of Perth – strongly Labor, outer suburban, working class and fairly socially conservative. Roberts has a personal vote too.
@CG
I visit Midland/surrounding areas frequently (I’ve got good friends in the area), and definitely agree with the Ipswich comparison.
Will be keen to see the margin here after the election – the right Liberal candidate could easily pick this up in 2029 (not this time though – I don’t expect the Liberals to win Hillarys in 2025, let alone a seat like this)
Sarah Howlett has announced her Independent candidacy for this seat. I don’t she’ll poll particularly well across the seat. She’s very much a tealish kind of campaigner in a solidly working class electorate. Steve Catania will be the next Labor MP for the seat. But Labor may get a MASSIVE swing with Roberts retiring and the post-McGowan climate.
18% swing against Labor seems most likley