ALP 16.9%
Incumbent MP
Jessica Stojkovski, since 2017.
Geography
Northern Perth. Kingsley mostly lies in the southeastern corner of Joondalup council area, along with small parts of Wanneroo council area. The seat covers the suburbs of Woodvale, Kingsley, Greenwood and parts of Warwick.
Redistribution
No change.
History
Kingsley has existed as a seat since 1989, and has been held by the Liberal Party at all but three elections.
Cheryl Edwardes won the seat in 1989. She served as a minister in the Court government in the 1990s, and retired in 2005. The ALP’s Judy Hughes won Kingsley in 2005 by less than 400 votes – the only Labor candidate to win a Liberal seat in 2005.
The Labor Party’s slim margin was almost entirely wiped out by the 2008 redistribution, and Hughes lost to Liberal candidate Andrea Mitchell with a 4.6% swing. Mitchell was re-elected in 2013, but lost in 2017 to Labor candidate Jessica Stojkovski with a swing of almost 15%. Stojkovski easily won a second term in 2021.
Assessment
Kingsley traditionally has leaned towards the Liberal Party. While Stojkovski’s margin is enormous, the seat is still less favourable to Labor than most other Labor seats. There are just sixteen other Labor seats held by slimmer margins. This is the kind of seat the Liberal Party would want to win back to be a more credible opposition, but on its own would still leave the Liberals a long way from government.
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Jessica Stojkovski | Labor | 15,883 | 60.5 | +19.6 |
Scott Edwardes | Liberal | 7,925 | 30.2 | -12.4 |
Isabella Tripp | Greens | 1,461 | 5.6 | -4.4 |
Concetta Webber | One Nation | 436 | 1.7 | +1.7 |
Lynda Crawford | No Mandatory Vaccination | 373 | 1.4 | +1.4 |
Dianne McGarry | WAxit | 164 | 0.6 | -0.9 |
Informal | 871 | 3.2 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Jessica Stojkovski | Labor | 17,548 | 66.9 | +15.7 |
Scott Edwardes | Liberal | 8,687 | 33.1 | -15.7 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 62% in the south to 66.3% in the centre.
Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
Central | 66.3 | 4,366 | 16.6 |
North | 64.9 | 4,190 | 16.0 |
South | 62.0 | 2,192 | 8.4 |
Pre-poll | 68.2 | 9,875 | 37.6 |
Other votes | 68.3 | 5,619 | 21.4 |
Election results in Kingsley at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
My prediction: My old seat (lived here from the late 90s until 2019), expect the north of this seat in particular to go back to the Liberals. I also have this down as a Liberal gain.
I don’t have much a point of reference for the Northern part of the seat, but The Warwick Quarter Redevelopment proposal is very controversial in the southern half, every other house immediately around the shopping centre has a Liberal corflute, the only thing that will save Labor is the margin, I’d anticipate a swing much higher than the state average.