Hillarys – WA 2025

ALP 18.7%

Incumbent MP
Caitlin Collins, since 2021.

Geography
Northern Perth. Hillarys covers central parts of the Joondalup council area, including Hillarys, Craigie, Kallaroo, Sorrento and parts of Ocean Reef and Padbury.

Redistribution
Hillarys moved slightly north, losing part of Padbury to Carine and gaining part of Ocean Reef from Joondalup.

History
The seat of Hillarys has existed since 1996. The seat had been won by the Liberal candidate at every election until 2021.

Hillarys was won by Liberal MP Rob Johnson, who had first been elected to parliament to represent Whitford in 1993. Johnson became a minister in the Liberal government in 1999, serving until the government’s defeat in 2001. Johnson was re-elected in 2001, 2005 and 2008, and became police minister after the 2008 election.

Johnson lost his ministry in a reshuffle in 2012, and was re-elected again in 2013. Johnson resigned from the Liberal Party in early 2016, after longstanding conflict with the premier, Colin Barnett.

Johnson ran as an independent in 2017, but lost to Liberal MLC Peter Katsambanis.

Katsambanis lost in 2021 to Labor candidate Caitlin Collins.

Candidates

  • Caitlin Collins (Labor)
  • Lisa Olsson (Liberal)
  • Assessment
    If the Liberal Party is to have any chance of forming government, they would need to win a seat like Hillarys. It is Labor’s 21st-most marginal seat.

    2021 result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Caitlin Collins Labor 15,671 61.4 +28.1 61.2
    Peter Katsambanis Liberal 6,900 27.0 -11.0 27.0
    Greg Glazov Greens 1,366 5.4 -3.9 5.2
    Katrina Winfield Legalise Cannabis 582 2.3 +2.3 2.2
    W Seeto No Mandatory Vaccination 476 1.9 +1.9 1.9
    Rick Tylka Liberals for Climate 339 1.3 +1.3 1.2
    Zoran Jankulovski WAxit 184 0.7 +0.5 0.8
    Others 0.6
    Informal 802 3.0

    2021 two-party-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Caitlin Collins Labor 17,597 69.0 +19.3 68.7
    Peter Katsambanis Liberal 7,919 31.0 -19.3 31.3

    Booth breakdown

    Polling places have been split into three parts: central, north and south.

    Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 65.7% in the centre to 70.1% in the north.

    Voter group ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
    South 66.9 4,127 15.4
    North 70.1 3,620 13.5
    Central 65.7 3,447 12.8
    Pre-poll 68.1 9,399 35.0
    Other votes 71.7 6,249 23.3

    Election results in Hillarys at the 2021 WA state election
    Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

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    2 COMMENTS

    1. There is a poll for the seat of Hillarys in today’s Western Australian. it’s a telephone poll of 350 voters commissioned by the Home Builders Action Group. The usual seat poll caveats apply obviously but it has Labor leading 61-39 on TTP.

      Labor primary is 45% Libs: 27%. Libs got 27% in the 2021 loss and Greens are up on 15%

    2. @Patreon57 even though Labor are the favourites to retain this due to the margin it will be much closer than that.

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