ALP 9.2%
Incumbent MP
Lara Dalton, since 2021.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
The district of Geraldton covers the town of Geraldton and rural areas around the town. The electorate covers the Greater Geraldton, Northampton and Chapman Valley council areas.
Redistribution
Geraldton expanded to covers a larger rural area, mostly taking in the northern end of the seat of Moore and a small part of North West Central.
History
Geraldton has existed since 1890. The district was dominated by the Labor Party from 1917 to 1991. Since the 1991 by-election, the Liberal Party has won the seat at all but three elections.
Jeff Carr held the seat for Labor from 1974 until 1991. In 1991 he was dumped from the ministry, and resigned. The ensuing by-election was won by the Liberal Party’s Bob Bloffwitch.
Bloffwitch was re-elected in 1993 and 1996, and lost in a big swing to Labor candidate Shane Hill in 2001.
The 2008 redistribution expanded Geraldton to take in surrounding areas, and made the seat a notional Liberal seat. Hill was defeated by Liberal candidate Ian Blayney, and Blayney was re-elected in 2013.
Blayney resigned from the Liberal Party in mid-2019 and joined the Nationals soon after.
Blayney lost his seat at the 2021 election, with Labor’s Lara Dalton winning the seat.
Assessment
There are only five Labor seats held by slimmer margins than Geraldton, so if there is any reversion to normality you’d expect Labor to lose here to either Liberal or Nationals.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Lara Dalton | Labor | 11,676 | 54.7 | +21.0 | 52.3 |
| Ian Blayney | Nationals | 5,222 | 24.5 | +7.0 | 26.5 |
| Rob Dines | Liberal | 2,750 | 12.9 | -14.8 | 12.8 |
| Matt Roberts | Greens | 536 | 2.5 | -1.5 | 2.6 |
| Chris Mellon | Shooters, Fishers & Farmers | 380 | 1.8 | -2.0 | 2.1 |
| Bruce Davies | One Nation | 336 | 1.6 | -7.9 | 1.6 |
| Mark James Long | No Mandatory Vaccination | 248 | 1.2 | +1.2 | 1.2 |
| Bey Bey Kung | WAxit | 127 | 0.6 | +0.6 | 0.5 |
| Andrew Genovese | Liberal Democrats | 77 | 0.4 | +0.4 | 0.3 |
| Others | 0.0 | ||||
| Informal | 746 | 3.4 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Lara Dalton | Labor | 13,170 | 61.7 | +13.0 | 59.2 |
| Ian Blayney | Nationals | 8,173 | 38.3 | -13.0 | 40.8 |
Polling places have been split into four parts. Polling places in the Geraldton urban area have been split into central, north and south, and the remainder has been grouped as outer.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote was around 65% in all three parts of Geraldton, while the Nationals managed 58.8% in the outer parts of the seat.
| Voter group | LIB prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Geraldton Central | 11.3 | 65.0 | 3,017 | 12.5 |
| Geraldton North | 11.8 | 64.8 | 2,380 | 9.9 |
| Outer | 10.9 | 41.2 | 1,854 | 7.7 |
| Geraldton South | 12.1 | 64.9 | 1,093 | 4.5 |
| Pre-poll | 13.6 | 60.7 | 12,311 | 51.1 |
| Other votes | 13.1 | 52.8 | 3,443 | 14.3 |
Election results in Geraldton at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Nationals, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
10% margin is difficult to overturn in one election
Also this seat is one where a incumbent can build a personal vote it is a bit like Albany.
@mick that margin was due to McGowan’s popularity and covid stance. They will lose the seat. See most state and federal seats had double digit swings to Labor these will go back in double swings agins5 labor
Allot of wishful thinking here, The truth is this will be a tossup on election day, same with Kalgoorlie.
Merome Beard should have ran here instead.
@daniel she has no association with this electorate her divisions of North West Central has no electors here it’s not wishful thing Kalgoorlie will be wln by labor