ALP 32.5%
Incumbent MP
John Quigley, since 2013. Previously member for Innaloo 2001-2005, member for Mindarie 2005-2013.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Outer north of Perth. Butler stretches along the coast at the northern edge of Perth, from Jindalee to Two Rocks, and also covering Yanchep, Butler and Ridgewood. The seat covers the north-western corner of Wanneroo council area.
Redistribution
Butler contracted at its southern end, losing Merriwa and part of Ridgewood to Mindarie.
History
The seat of Butler was created in 2013, taking in parts of the former seat of Mindarie, which had existed since 2005.
The Labor MP John Quigley won Mindarie in 2005, after winning the seat of Innaloo in 2001. Quigley was re-elected in Mindarie in 2008, and has won Butler three times.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP John Quigley is not running for re-election.
- Ramon Granados (Legalise Cannabis)
- Vanessa Montgomery (Australian Christians)
- Lorna Clarke (Labor)
- Rikki Baulch (Liberal)
- Mark Powley (One Nation)
- Matthew Price (Greens)
Assessment
Butler is one of Labor’s safest seats and even if there is a big swing back from Labor, they should be safe here.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| John Quigley | Labor | 19,806 | 77.0 | +19.4 | 77.2 |
| Linda Aitken | Liberal | 3,565 | 13.9 | -6.3 | 13.6 |
| Elizabeth Kamara | Greens | 1,037 | 4.0 | -2.3 | 4.0 |
| P Becker | No Mandatory Vaccination | 609 | 2.4 | +2.4 | 2.3 |
| Katrina Hildebrandt | Australian Christians | 542 | 2.1 | +0.4 | 2.1 |
| Raj Bawa | WAxit | 178 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.7 |
| Informal | 1,014 | 3.8 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| John Quigley | Labor | 21,168 | 82.2 | +11.7 | 82.5 |
| Linda Aitken | Liberal | 4,569 | 17.8 | -11.7 | 17.5 |
Polling places have been split into two parts: north and south.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote was 80.9% in the north and 82.7% in the south.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 82.7 | 4,018 | 18.3 |
| North | 80.9 | 2,874 | 13.1 |
| Pre-poll | 82.8 | 9,923 | 45.1 |
| Other votes | 82.7 | 5,178 | 23.5 |
Election results in Butler at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
I believe the Labor candidate’s name is Lorna Clarke not Lorna Wyatt
My prediction: Labor hold, especially with the Yanchep rail extension opening last year.
Another one of those seats with an absurdly inflated margin. Compare to Pearce at the 2019 federal election – the north of that seat (roughly Butler and Mindarie on state boundaries) voted 53.5% Lib. Quigley would’ve had a decent personal vote, too, so Labor are losing that. A 25% swing wouldn’t surprise me here.