ALP 28.5%
Incumbent MP
Peter Tinley, member for Willagee since 2009.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Southern Perth. Bibra Lake covers the suburbs of Murdoch, Coolbellup, Samson, Bibra Lake and parts of Hamilton Hill, South Lake and Coogee. The seat covers parts of the Fremantle, Melville and Cockburn local government areas.
Redistribution
Bibra Lake is a new name for the seat of Willagee. The seat lost the suburb of Willagee and the remainder of O’Connor and Kardinya to Bicton, and gained part of Hamilton Hill from Fremantle. There were also two small changes to the southern border with Cockburn. These changes increased the Labor margin from 27.1% to 28.5%.
History
Bibra Lake is a new seat, mostly replacing Willagee. The seat of Willagee was created in 1996, and has always been held by Labor.
Labor candidate Alan Carpenter won the seat in 1996. Carpenter was re-elected in the seat in 2001, and served as a minister in the Gallop Labor government. Carpenter was elected to a third term in parliament in 2005, and became Premier and Labor leader in 2006 following Geoff Gallop’s retirement.
Carpenter led the government until 2008, when he led Labor to defeat. Carpenter resigned from parliament in 2009.
Labor candidate Peter Tinley won the 2009 Willagee by-election, and has been re-elected three times.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Peter Tinley is not running for re-election.
- Lisa Griffiths (Independent)
- Robyn Walsh (Greens)
- Bradley Dickinson (One Nation)
- Leon Yeap (Australian Christians)
- Michael Separovich (Independent)
- Bradley Gibb (Legalise Cannabis)
- Sook Yee Lai (Labor)
- Atul Garg (Liberal)
Assessment
Bibra Lake is a strong Labor seat. If Labor was in trouble here, they’d be on track for a landslide defeat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Peter Tinley | Labor | 15,576 | 66.1 | +11.3 | 65.9 |
| Barry Jones | Liberal | 4,525 | 19.2 | -9.3 | 17.4 |
| Felicity Townsend | Greens | 2,197 | 9.3 | -1.9 | 10.2 |
| Susan Poole | No Mandatory Vaccination | 507 | 2.2 | +2.2 | 2.3 |
| Michael Mitchell | Liberal Democrats | 310 | 1.3 | +1.3 | 1.8 |
| Mark Dalrymple | One Nation | 434 | 1.8 | +1.8 | 1.3 |
| Others | 1.1 | ||||
| Informal | 906 | 3.7 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Peter Tinley | Labor | 18,156 | 77.1 | +9.5 | 78.5 |
| Barry Jones | Liberal | 5,387 | 22.9 | -9.5 | 21.5 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: east, north and west.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 73.1% in the west to 78.4% in the east.
The Greens primary vote ranged from 8.7% in the east to 15.3% in the north.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 15.3 | 76.7 | 4,191 | 16.9 |
| West | 12.5 | 73.1 | 2,936 | 11.9 |
| East | 8.7 | 78.4 | 2,890 | 11.7 |
| Pre-poll | 8.1 | 77.7 | 8,969 | 36.2 |
| Other votes | 9.5 | 76.5 | 5,785 | 23.4 |
Election results in Bibra Lake at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
After MP Peter Tinley announced he was quitting at the next state election. Its been reported federal MP’s Sam Lim Chief of staff Sook Yee Lai is likely to replace him.
With the loss of the personal vote and return to normal voting patterns this could swing to the libs
Think this might surprise as a Labor vs Greens 2pp seat (Easy ALP victory though) Don’t think the Liberal vote will raise much and the redistribution has put in some stronger Greens area into the seat.
Given that advantage of Covid magic has withered away, there is a good chance that people will evaluate the recent performance in terms of infrastructure delivery in the area and the experience of the competing candidates before voting this time.
My prediction: Labor hold.