ALP 33.8%
Incumbent MP
Tony Buti, since 2010.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Armadale covers south-eastern parts of Perth, including Armadale, Mount Richon, Seville Grove, Champion Lakes, Mount Nasura, Camillo, Kelmscott and part of Brookdale. The entire seat lies within the Armadale council area.
Redistribution
Armadale shifted north, gaining the remainder of Kelmscott from Darling Range, and losing Haynes, Hilbert and part of Brookdale to the new seat of Oakford. These changes cut the Labor margin from 35.5% to 33.8%.
History
The seat of Armadale has existed since 1983, and has always been held by Labor.
Armadale was first won in 1983 by Labor MP Bob Pearce, who had held the seat of Gosnells since 1977. Pearce had joined the Labor frontbench in 1980, and became a minister after the 1983 election. He was re-elected in 1986 and 1989, and served as a minister until 1992. He retired at the 1993 election.
Pearce was succeeded in 1993 by Labor MP Kay Hallahan. Hallahan had held a seat in the Legislative Council since 1983, and had served as a minister since 1986. Hallahan became deputy leader of the opposition after Labor’s defeat in the 1993 election, serving in that role until 1994. She retired in 1996.
Alannah MacTiernan, another Labor member of the upper house, replaced Hallahan in Armadale in 1996. MacTiernan had been elected to the upper house in 1993 after five years on Perth City Council.
MacTiernan was re-elected in 2001, 2005 and 2008, and served as a minister in the Labor state government from 2001 until 2008.
MacTiernan resigned from Armadale in 2010 to contest the federal seat of Canning. She was unsuccessful in this contest, and went on to win election as Mayor of the City of Vincent in 2011. MacTiernan won the federal seat of Perth in 2013, and retired in 2016.
The 2010 Armadale by-election was won by Labor’s Tony Buti. Buti has been re-elected three times.
- Shelley Harrington (Greens)
- Arthur Kleyn (Australian Christians)
- Tony Buti (Labor)
- C Ling (Stop Pedophiles)
- Jason Mcnamara (Liberal)
- Elizabeth Lerardi (One Nation)
Assessment
Armadale is one of Labor’s safest seats.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Tony Buti | Labor | 18,434 | 74.4 | +7.7 | 73.0 |
| Mahesh Arumugam | Liberal | 1,859 | 7.5 | -9.3 | 8.9 |
| Arthur Kleyn | Australian Christians | 1,424 | 5.7 | -0.6 | 5.5 |
| Jessica Openshaw | Greens | 1,135 | 4.6 | -1.9 | 4.8 |
| Jayden Carr | One Nation | 682 | 2.8 | +2.8 | 2.7 |
| Blake Clarke | Western Australia Party | 649 | 2.6 | +2.6 | 2.4 |
| Lisa Moody | No Mandatory Vaccination | 417 | 1.7 | +1.7 | 1.8 |
| Eby Mathew | WAxit | 171 | 0.7 | +0.7 | 0.6 |
| Others | 0.2 | ||||
| Informal | 1,229 | 4.7 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Tony Buti | Labor | 21,159 | 85.5 | +10.3 | 83.8 |
| Mahesh Arumugam | Liberal | 3,597 | 14.5 | -10.3 | 16.2 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 79.6% in the north to 83.2% in the centre.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 79.6 | 3,889 | 16.7 |
| Central | 83.2 | 3,148 | 13.5 |
| South | 80.2 | 2,427 | 10.4 |
| Pre-poll | 86.5 | 9,322 | 40.1 |
| Other votes | 84.3 | 4,449 | 19.1 |
Election results in Armadale at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
This seems to always have a strong Australian Christians vote in Armadale.
My prediction: Labor hold.
The booth vote map here would be more fun with a Christians vote shown. That little booth on Fifth Rd with a 58% Labor primary is the Free Reformed Church (a bunch of South African migrants who seem to be the core of the party). They got 26% there, way ahead of the Libs and Greens on single figures.
Christians actually came (a very distant) second on booth votes; the Libs overtook them on absent and early votes. Obviously they’re not likely to make the 2cp in normal times, but there is a non-trivial vote for them in this part of Perth.
Bird, the Free Reformed Church was around long before the South African migration – it’s a Dutch-background denomination. The link between being Dutch and housing many South African migrants is, of course, fairly obvious.