ALP 1.3%
Incumbent MP
Chris Tallentire, member for Thornlie since 2008.
Geography
Southern Perth. Thornlie covers the suburb of Thornlie and part of Gosnells. The entire seat lies in Gosnells council area.
Redistribution
Thornlie is a new name for the seat of Gosnells, which has shifted north, losing parts of Gosnells to Southern River and gaining areas on the north side of the Canning River from Kalamunda, Forrestfield and Cannington. These changes cut the Labor margin from 2.9% to 1.3%.
History
Gosnells was created at the 2008 seat. The seat name was previously used from 1977 to 1989. The seat has always been won by Labor.
The seat was created with a notional 11.4% margin for the ALP, which was cut to 5.5% at the 2008 election, when the seat was won by Labor candidate Chris Tallentire.
Tallentire won a second term in 2013 with a 2.9% margin.
Candidates
- Rob Coales (Liberal)
- Sandy Baraiolo (One Nation)
- Andrew Van Dam (Flux)
- Sibel Bennett (Micro Business Party)
- Gary Hammond (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers)
- Madeleine Goiran (Australian Christians)
- Chris Tallentire (Labor)
- Donna Mcaleese (Greens)
Assessment
Thornlie is a very marginal Labor seat, but it is likely that the seat will become safer for Labor if there is a general statewide swing away from the government.
2013 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Chris Tallentire | Labor | 9,237 | 44.8 | +2.1 | 42.7 |
| David Goode | Liberal | 8,040 | 39.0 | +2.6 | 39.7 |
| Luke Edmonds | Greens | 1,207 | 5.9 | -6.4 | 5.8 |
| Chris Fernandez | Independent | 850 | 4.1 | +4.1 | 3.2 |
| Mark Staer | Australian Christians | 782 | 3.8 | -0.7 | 3.7 |
| Debbie Butler | Independent | 501 | 2.4 | +2.4 | 1.7 |
| Others | 3.1 | ||||
| Family First | 0.1 | ||||
| Informal | 1,682 | 7.5 |
2013 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Chris Tallentire | Labor | 10,896 | 52.9 | -1.9 | 51.3 |
| David Goode | Liberal | 9,701 | 47.1 | +1.9 | 48.7 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into two parts: east and west. Labor won a similar vote in both areas: around 53% after preferences.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| West | 52.8 | 9,207 | 43.3 |
| East | 53.2 | 6,818 | 32.1 |
| Pre-poll | 46.2 | 1,442 | 6.8 |
| Other votes | 46.3 | 3,777 | 17.8 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Thornlie at the 2013 WA state election
Rob Coales has been doing allot of work around the area this, is one to watch that might buck the trend
Thornlie is a safe Labor seat made marginal by a dreadful result in 2013. I doubt we’ll see any trend bucking here.
This area swung big to Labor at last year’s federal election.
This electorate is within the Federal Division of Burt and correct me of I’m wrong but Burt had one of the largest swings towards Labor in the country (+13.2%).
And adding to that plenty of hard working candidates lose, even candidates who are often far better then there opposition.
Rob Coales, much like Lily Chen in Mirrabooka, follows in the long line of hyper active candidate’s disease riddled Liberal candidates in Labor certainty seats. Any suggestion he might win or buck the trend is ridiculous. These types are put up by the party to do the dismal job of losing and are soon discarded afterwards. In the immortal words of Clive Palmer – bye bye Rob bye bye!
Walter Ulbricht – that is likely the most cynical thing I have read lately. Firstly, Thornlie is hardly a safe Labor seat, nor is Chris Tallintyre campaigning very publically. Rob Coales is having a red hot crack in an area which may well be ready for a candidate that has shown himself ready to work very hard and who, being an ex police officer, may bring some hope of some actual law and order priorities coming to the seat. As for discarding candidates, you couldnt be further from the truth. Ask supporters of Don Randall, who lost the race in Belmont (safe Labor) in 1993 then went on to win Swan and then turn Canning from safe Labor to ultra safe Liberal. Regardless of whether Rob Coales “bucks the trend” or not, he appears to have shown that he is a consummate campaigner and the Liberal Party would be foolish not to consider him for future campaigns – either as the encumbent or otherwise. Chris Tallintyre, on the other hand, has been missing in action – or should I say, Inaction. Hmmm?
As far as some of the other comments regarding swings at the last Federal election, one must take into consideration the massive lie campaign surrounding MediScare. This had a massive effect upon normal voting trends and has, subsequently, been proven to be an absolute lie with bulk billing under the Liberals reaching all time highs ( plus 85%) and, would you believe it, NOTHING bad happened when the Libs won – go figure!!??
This state election doesnt have a MediScare and, even if they do the normal and start one, why would anybody believe them. They have already been caught lying after they attempted to deny they had a 50% renewable energy target when their main policy document clearly stated they did. And, with nearly $5b in election promises ( compared to $1.6b Libs) and no way of paying them other than spending the money they save from stopping Roe* – No WAIT! That is Federal money with strings attached for Roe8 so they aint getting that either, are they?
Sorry folks, but that Federal election swing aint going to be as big as you think. Might even be non-existent once the electorate sees the enormity of the ALP fraudulence in terms of what they say they will deliver. At least Barnett can hang his hat on the fact that he has delivered heaps of infrastruvture and the jobs ( ~100k) that come with it whilst he has been spending up big to stimulate the WA economy – oh yeah, thats doing exactly the same thing that Rudd was doing during the GFC. Only Barnett got more than 60 schools , a heap of hospitals and a motza of roads for our money – Rudd gave out $900 cheques
Gary Boyle, unsuccessful Liberal candidate for Kalgoorlie in 1993. Dude, it’s been 24 years. Time to let the old dream die. Do you even get paid for this?
No, but he’ll probably be paid to hand out leaflets for One Nation.
Good Lord! who the hell needs to be paid to support what they believe in?? 24 years? that would be right. I dont even remember that far back The question I have is not about what I may or may not have done 24 years ago but about what I wrote. Its still relevant actually but I suspect you wouldnt have taken much notice, I am guessing
Given the final result in Thornlie was ALP 65.8% Lib 34.2%, goodness know why you felt compelled to dredge up the hopeless nonsense spouted here.