LIB 11.5%
Incumbent MP
Albert Jacob, member for Ocean Reef since 2008.
Geography
Northern Perth. The seat covers the suburbs of Burns Beach, Iluka, Kinross, Tamala Park, and Clarkson, as well as parts of Joondalup and Mindarie.
Redistribution
Burns Beach is a new seat, partly replacing the abolished seat of Ocean Reef. Burns Beach took in Iluka, Kinross and Burns Beach from Ocean Reef, as well as part of Joondalup from the seat of Joondalup and Tamala Park and Clarkson from Butler. These changes cut the Liberal margin from 19% in Ocean Reef to 11.5% in Burns Beach.
History
Burns Beach is the successor to Ocean Reef, which was created for the 2008 election – one of a number of new seats created in Perth due to one vote one value legislation.
The seat was created with a notional Labor majority, but thanks to a 6% swing it was won by Liberal candidate Albert Jacob. Jacob was re-elected in 2013.
Candidates
- Carl Maddox (Julie Matheson for WA)
- Albert Jacob (Liberal)
- Sandy Culum-Buzak (Micro Business Party)
- Mark Folkard (Labor)
- Rudolph Crous (Australian Christians)
- Mark Cooper (Greens)
- Joy Drennan (Family First)
Assessment
While the Liberal margin in Burns Beach is sizeable, a large statewide swing to Labor could put this seat in play.
2013 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Albert Jacob | Liberal | 13,700 | 65.1 | +18.8 | 57.2 |
| Philippa Taylor | Labor | 5,384 | 25.6 | -13.1 | 32.6 |
| Mary O’Byrne | Greens | 1,409 | 6.7 | -3.5 | 7.4 |
| Lyn Kennedy | Australian Christians | 301 | 1.4 | -0.6 | 2.0 |
| Aliné Croll | Family First | 243 | 1.2 | -1.7 | 0.8 |
| Informal | 1,430 | 6.4 |
2013 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Albert Jacob | Liberal | 14,507 | 69.0 | +16.3 | 61.5 |
| Philippa Taylor | Labor | 6,527 | 31.0 | -16.3 | 38.5 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three parts: north, central and south.
The Liberal Party’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 55.8% in the north to 70% in the south.
| Voter group | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 55.8 | 6,492 | 32.4 |
| Central | 60.6 | 5,122 | 25.6 |
| South | 70.2 | 3,872 | 19.3 |
| Other votes | 63.2 | 3,258 | 16.3 |
| Pre-poll | 62.8 | 1,297 | 6.5 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Burns Beach at the 2013 WA state election
Hi Ben, I will be standing in the seat of Burns Beach on behalf of the Julie Matheson for Western Australia Party. Take a look at our website http://www.juliematheson.com.au and contact me if you would like to get any more information. We are fielding candidates in most of the WA seats.
Hi Ben and eveyone. I will be standing for the Greens (WA) in Burns Beach. If you would like some more information about what we are trying to do in the northern suburbs, start with this link:
http://greens.org.au/wa/mark-cooper
A 35% difference in Labor’s vote in a 2 km drive! I know some of that’s demographic (Mindarie has a marina, Clarkson is apparently the new Balga), but you can really tell where Labor bothered campaigning and where they didn’t. That 16% swing was ridiculous.
At last year’s federal election, Labor got 57.6% at Clarkson (54% / 62%, so about the same), while the Libs got 63.2% at Mindarie (73%). Labor also did about 10% better federally at the other Ocean Reef booths from Moore. Works out to roughly 44.7% ALP 2pp.
BTW: Ben, are your booth 2pp figures estimates, or from somewhere I haven’t found? I’m reading off this:
https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/elections/state/sgelection/#/sg2013/electorate/OCR/results