ALP 8.3%
Incumbent MP
Michelle Roberts, since 1996. Previously Member for Glendalough 1994-1996.
Geography
Eastern Perth. Midland covers the suburbs of Guilford, Midland, Woodbridge, Viveash, Midvale, Stratton, Jane Brook, Swan View, Greenmount, Koongamia, Bellevue, Hazelmere, Helena Valley, Boya and parts of Middle Swan. The seats cover parts of Mundaring and Swan councils.
Redistribution
No change.
History
The seat of Midland was created at the 1996 redistribution, and was first won by the ALP’s Michelle Roberts.
Roberts was first elected to the seat of Glendalough at a 1994 by-election after the resignation of former Premier Carmen Lawrence.
Glendalough was abolished in 1996, and Roberts won Midland.
She held Midland in 1996 with a 4.3% margin. This was expanded to 13.5% in 2001 before falling back 8.5% in 2005 and 8.3% in 2008.
Candidates
- Daniel Parasiliti (Liberal)
- Michelle Roberts (Labor)
- Isaac Moran (Australian Christians)
- Pippa Tandy (Greens)
Assessment
Midland should remain safely in Labor’s hand, unless the swing to the Liberal Party is very large.
2008 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Michelle Roberts | ALP | 8,968 | 46.8 | -1.8 |
Peter McDowell | LIB | 6,645 | 34.7 | +0.6 |
Caz Bowman | GRN | 2,869 | 15.0 | +4.5 |
Lukas Butler | CDP | 687 | 3.6 | +0.0 |
2008 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Michelle Roberts | ALP | 11,174 | 58.3 | -1.3 |
Peter McDowell | LIB | 7,977 | 41.7 | +1.3 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three parts: north, east and west. The ALP polled a majority of the primary vote in the north. In the other two areas the ALP outpolled the Liberal Party by a smaller margin: 42% to 37%.
Voter group | ALP % | LIB % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
North | 51.16 | 31.86 | 13.35 | 8,096 | 42.23 |
East | 42.75 | 37.24 | 16.68 | 4,484 | 23.39 |
West | 42.24 | 37.22 | 17.61 | 2,249 | 11.73 |
Other votes | 45.14 | 35.92 | 14.84 | 4,340 | 22.64 |
My prediction: Labor retain
No swing in 2008 means it might go more than average this time around, but Labor will hold on.
Would be comfortably Labor at federal level.
Prediction: ALP Retain