LIB 4.6%
Incumbent MP
Andrea Mitchell, since 2008.
Geography
Northern Perth. Kingsley mostly lies in the southeastern corner of Joondalup council area, along with small parts of Wanneroo council area. The seat covers the suburbs of Woodvale, Kingsley, Greenwood and parts of Warwick.
Redistribution
Gains part of Warwick from Girrawheen, slightly increasing the Liberal margin.
History
Kingsley has existed as a seat since 1989, and has been held by the Liberal Party at all but one election.
Cheryl Edwardes won the seat in 1989. She served as a minister in the Court government in the 1990s, and retired in 2005. The ALP’s Judy Hughes won Kingsley in 2005 by less than 400 votes – the only Labor candidate to win a Liberal seat in 2005.
The Labor Party’s slim margin was almost entirely wiped out by the 2008 redistribution, and Hughes lost to Liberal candidate Andrea Mitchell with a 4.6% swing.
Candidates
- Andrea Mitchell (Liberal)
- Diana MacTiernan (Greens)
- Sophie Ann Mason (Australian Christians)
- Brian Corr (Labor)
Assessment
Kingsley has never been a very safe seat, but has been dominated by the Liberal Party and should stay in Liberal hands in 2013.
2008 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Andrea Mitchell | LIB | 9,710 | 47.7 | +10.1 |
Judy Hughes | ALP | 7,230 | 35.5 | -1.2 |
Diana MacTiernan | GRN | 2,289 | 11.3 | +5.3 |
Bronwyn Phipson | CDP | 571 | 2.8 | -0.2 |
Frank Hultgren | FF | 545 | 2.7 | +0.3 |
2008 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Andrea Mitchell | LIB | 11,085 | 54.5 | +4.6 |
Judy Hughes | ALP | 9,252 | 45.5 | -4.6 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas: north, central and south.
The Liberal Party topped the poll in all three areas, varying from 50.7% in the north to 44.3% in the south.
Voter group | LIB % | ALP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of ordinary votes |
Central | 49.70 | 34.80 | 10.73 | 6,923 | 39.52 |
South | 44.26 | 36.23 | 13.01 | 5,902 | 33.69 |
North | 50.74 | 33.84 | 10.59 | 4,693 | 26.79 |
Other votes | 47.16 | 37.39 | 10.74 | 3,715 |
My prediction: Liberal retain
Prediction: LIB Retain
Predict easy Liberal retain. Labor were lucky with the 2005 result