Greater Geelong council election, 2024

The City of Greater Geelong covers the entire Geelong urban area, as well as the Lara area to the north and most of the Bellarine peninsula.

The council had a population of 271,057 as of the 2021 census.

Wards
The City of Greater Geelong will be divided into eleven single-member wards as of 2024:

  • Barrabool Hills – in the west, covering Highton, Wandana Heights and Ceres.
  • Charlemont – in the south, covering Armstrong Creek, Charlemont, Marshall and part of Belmont.
  • Cheetham – in the centre, covering East Geelong, Moolap, Newcomb, St Albans Park, Thomson and Whittington.
  • Connewarre – on the southern shore of the Bellarine peninsula, covering Barwon Heads, Breamlea, Collendina and Ocean Grove.
  • Corio – at the northern end of the Geelong urban area, covering Corio, Norlane and North Shore.
  • Deakin – in the south-western corner of the City, covering Grovedale, Mount Duneed and Waurn Ponds.
  • Hamlyn Heights – covering suburbs immediately to the west of the Geelong city centre, including Bell Park, Bell Post Hill, Hamlyn Heights, Herne Hill and Manifold Heights.
  • Kardinia – covering the Geelong city centre, and the neighbouring suburbs of Geelong West, North Geelong, Newtown, Drumcondra and Rippleside.
  • Leopold – in the south-east of the council, covering suburbs on the north side of the Bellarine peninsula including Leopold and part of Drysdale.
  • Murradoc – on the tip of the Bellarine peninsula, covering St Leonards and part of Drysdale.
  • You Yangs – covering rural areas at the northern end of the council area, including Lara Batesford, Moorabool and Anakie.

Redistribution
The council previously consisted of four wards, electing eleven councillors. The Windermere Ward elected two members, while the Bellarine, Brownbill and Kardinia wards each elected three.

The eastern Bellarine ward covered the Bellarine peninsula, including the new Connewarre, Leopold and Murradoc wards, and parts of Cheetham ward.

The central Brownbill ward covered the entire new Kardinia ward and parts of the new Leopold and Hamlyn Heights wards.

The southern Kardinia ward covered the entire new Barrabool Hills, Charlemont and Deakin wards, and a small part of the new Hamlyn Heights ward. Interestingly the new Kardinia ward shares no territory with the old Kardinia ward.

The northern Windermere ward covered the entirety of the new Corio and You Yangs wards.

Incumbent councillors

Bellarine Elise Wilkinson (Put Climate First)1 Jim Mason (Ind Labor) Trent Sullivan (Ind Lib)
Brownbill Melissa Cadwell (Ind Labor)2 Eddy Kontelj (Ind) Peter Murrihy (Ind)
Kardinia Bruce Harwood (Ind) Belinda Moloney (Put Climate First) Ron Nelson (Ind Lib)
Windermere Anthony Aitken (Ind) Sarah Hathway (Soc All)3

1Elise Wilkinson replaced Stephanie Asher (Ind Lib) following a countback in 2023.
2Melissa Cadwell replaced Sarah Mansfield (Greens) following a countback in 2023.
3Sarah Hathway replaced Kylie Grzybek (Independent) following a countback in 2023.

History
The City of Greater Geelong was created in 1993 by amalgamating part or whole of seven neighbouring councils, although one of those council areas was moved into a neighbouring council as part of the 1994 council reorganisation.

The council’s mayor was elected by councillors until 2012, when direct election of the mayor was introduced. The first direct election saw businessman Keith Fagg win the role.

Fagg resigned from the mayoralty in 2013, and a subsequent by-election was won by media personality Darryn Lyons. He led the council until 2016, when the council was sacked by the state government.

A fresh election was called in 2017, with the council reduced in size from twelve to eleven, with the mayor now elected from amongst the councillors. The electoral structure was also changed from single-member wards to four multi-member wards electing two or three councillors each.

Stephanie Asher was re-elected unopposed as mayor for a two year term following the 2020 election, with Trent Sullivan as her deputy.

Asher resigned early from the mayoralty in June 2022, and Peter Murrihy was elected to finish her term.

The November 2022 meeting elected Trent Sullivan as mayor and Anthony Aitken as deputy mayor for the remainder of the council term.

Candidate summary
No information.

Assessment
Labor does well in Geelong at state and federal elections, but partisanship is not strong in Greater Geelong.

2020 results

Party Votes % Seats won
Independent 58,513 35.5 4
Independent Liberal 43,263 26.3 4
Independent Labor 25,648 15.6 1
Greens 17,081 10.4 1
Put Climate First 12,518 7.6 1
Socialist Alliance 4,292 2.6
Animal Justice 3,408 2.1
Informal 7,474 4.3

Voting trends by ward
In order to understand the relative political position of each ward, I have estimated the results of the 2022 federal election in each ward.

On a two-party-preferred basis, Labor won every ward. The Labor vote was weakest in the wards on the Bellarine peninsula. The Liberal primary vote was 35% or more in the Connewarre, Leopold and Murradoc wards.

5 COMMENTS

  1. Thanks for this analysis, Ben.

    The various resignations and countbacks definitely complicate the picture a bit, but I note that there are currently two “Put Climate First” councillors, and there was previously a Green (and the two groups’ combined primary was ~29k, more than Independent Labor). Not to mention a Socialist ended up on the council after a countback.

    This makes me think there is a fairly strong climate-lefty vote across the LGA as a whole, and it’d be interesting to see how this is spread geographically.

    Is there any chance you could include a Greens primary toggle on your map?

  2. The Greens have announced 7 candidates for Geelong. Their biggest campaign to-date and must be considered in with a chance in at least the two inner city wards. Likewise in Surf Coast they are running in all wards for the first time. Both campaigns have been running for a couple of months now, well ahead of most other candidates. They appear to have established a foothold in the region, following on from their growing vote in the state and federal elections.

  3. @WanderWest with single-member wards I don’t think the Greens will win seats even in the inner-city. Geelong is a working-class city, those wards will go to Labor.

    These single-member wards are good and bad. In bigger and more diverse councils like Brisbane the Central Coast I would like them, but in councils like Melbourne (where they don’t exist) they would be terrible because they would be so biased towards one party (in the case of Melbourne it would be the Greens, with Labor probably getting a ward then the only ward that’s even remotely competitive for the Liberals being Docklands which is the Pyrmont of Melbourne); it would be like regional councils having Nationals candidates and single-member wards, the Nationals would win almost every ward. It would start to look like some American state legislative chambers where over 80% of members come from one party (e.g in Wyoming the Republicans have a supermajority in the House and Senate; in the House they currently have 57 Republicans and five Democrats while in the Senate they have 29 Republicans and two Democrats).

  4. Councils should elect all in one lot or have a series of 3 member wards this allows for diversity in representation.

  5. Geelong has changed a lot over the past ten years and tends to vote differently at a local level compared to state and federal. Many young professionals, priced out of Melbourne, have moved to Geelong. The inner city ward of Kardinia will be between Liberals and Greens. Cheetham likely between Labor and Greens. Labor have not had much success in Geelong Council in recent years and are running a pretty low profile campaign. The current and previous mayor are both Liberals. In 2020 the Greens came first in the inner city multi-member ward. But yes, single member wards are the worst structure for local government. I agree with Mick, either unsubdivided of multi-member wards.

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