Rowville – Victoria 2022

LIB 5.5%

Incumbent MP
Kim Wells, since 2014. Previously member for Wantirna 1992-2002, member for Scoresby 2002-2014.

Geography
South-eastern Melbourne. Rowville covers the suburbs of Knoxfield, Lysterfield, Lysterfield South, Rowville, Rowville East, Scoresby and Wantirna South. Rowville covers the southern half of the City of Knox.

Redistribution
Rowville expanded north to take in Wantirna South from Ferntree Gully while losing a smaller area in the north-eastern corner. There were some minor changes to the southern border with Dandenong and Narre Warren North.

History
Rowville was created in 2014 as a successor to Scoresby.

The district of Scoresby was most recently created at the 2002 election.  It had previously existed from 1945 to 1976, when it was always held by the Liberal Party.

Scoresby was won in 2002 by Liberal MP Kim Wells, whose seat of Wantirna had been abolished in the recent redistribution. Wells was re-elected in 2006 and 2010, and again as member for Rowville in 2014 and 2018.

Candidates

Assessment
Rowville will likely stay in Liberal hands.

2018 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Kim Wells Liberal 17,551 50.4 -3.5 50.9
Muhammad Shahbaz Labor 11,940 34.3 -1.4 35.9
Natasha Sharma Greens 3,483 10.0 +2.6 9.5
Joe Cossari Independent 1,858 5.3 +5.3 3.8
Informal 2,207 6.0 +0.4

2018 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Kim Wells Liberal 19,373 55.7 -2.7 55.5
Muhammad Shahbaz Labor 15,416 44.3 +2.7 44.5

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three areas: east, north-west and south-west.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 51.3% in the north-west and south-west to 53.6% in the east.

The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 9.2% in the north-west to almost 10% in the east and south-west.

Voter group GRN prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North-West 9.2 51.3 8,069 18.5
South-West 9.9 51.3 6,574 15.1
East 9.8 53.6 6,522 14.9
Pre-poll 8.4 59.5 16,558 37.9
Other votes 11.8 55.4 5,937 13.6

Election results in Rowville at the 2018 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens.

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57 COMMENTS

  1. This is just sad that the only contender is Kim Wells who has been around since 1992, dude looks like he is on his last legs. Literally scraping the bottom of the barrel.

  2. Wells would lose in a landslide and would be under threat in his own seat. If Mary Doyle was to narrowly lose Aston next year she would be the strongest contender to defeat Wells in this seat.

  3. Daniel,
    Mary Doyle lives in Wantirna South out of the electorate plus the civil war here in Victoria would more then likely help her hold on.

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