ALP 25.2%
Incumbent MP
Frank McGuire, since 2011.
Geography
Northern Melbourne. Broadmeadows covers the southern end of Hume council and the northern end of Moreland council. The seat covers the suburbs of Broadmeadows, Campbellfield, Coolaroo, Dallas, Fawkner, Glenroy, Hadfield, Jacana, Oak Park and parts of Glenroy and Westmeadows.
Redistribution
Broadmeadows shifted south, gaining Glenroy, Hadfield and Oak Park from Pascoe Vale, and lost Meadow Heights, Somerton and the remainder of Roxburgh Park to Greenvale. These changes reduced Labor’s margin from 30.3% to 25.2%.
History
Broadmeadows was first created at the 1955 election, and has been held by the ALP continuously since 1962.
The seat was first won in 1955 by the Liberal Party’s Harry Kane. He held the seat until his death in 1962.
The ensuing by-election was won by the ALP’s John Wilton. Wilton held the seat from 1962 until his retirement at the 1985 election.
In 1985, sitting Member for Glenroy Jack Culpin moved to Broadmeadows after his previous district was abolished. Culpin held the seat for one term.
In 1988, Jim Kennan moved from the Thomastown Legislative Council seat to Broadmeadows. He became Deputy Premier in 1990 and became Leader of the Opposition following the ALP’s election defeat in 1992.
Kennan resigned from Parliament in June 1993. The ensuing by-election was won by John Brumby, who had been Legislative Council member for Doutta Galla since another by-election in March the same year.
Brumby had been elected Leader of the Victorian ALP following Kennan’s resignation before his move to the Legislative Assembly. Brumby served as Labor leader until March 1999, when he stepped down in favour of Steve Bracks.
Brumby served as a senior minister in the Bracks government, serving as Assistant Treasurer (with Bracks himself as Treasurer) until he was appointed Treasurer in 2000. In 2007, Brumby was elected Labor leader and Premier following Steve Bracks’ retirement.
John Brumby led the ALP to the 2010 election, when the party narrowly lost power. Brumby resigned shortly after the election, and the 2011 by-election was won by Labor candidate Frank McGuire. McGuire was re-elected in 2014 and 2018.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Frank McGuire is not running for re-election.
- Baris Duzova (Liberal)
- Omar Hassan (Victorian Socialists)
- Arie Huybregts (Independent)
- Kathleen Matthews-Ward (Labor)
- Ben Sutter (Reason)
- Mohamad Elmustapha (Independent)
- Bienne Tam (Family First)
- Joe Aguilus (Greens)
- Candace Feild (Animal Justice)
Assessment
Broadmeadows is a very safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Frank Mcguire | Labor | 22,047 | 68.3 | +4.1 | 56.4 |
| Jenny Dow | Liberal | 5,321 | 16.5 | -0.8 | 15.1 |
| Sheriden Tate | Greens | 2,612 | 8.1 | +2.5 | 7.9 |
| Jerome Small | Socialists | 2,307 | 7.1 | +7.2 | 4.8 |
| Others | 15.8 | ||||
| Informal | 3,629 | 10.1 | +1.6 |
2018 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Frank Mcguire | Labor | 25,957 | 80.3 | +2.5 | 75.2 |
| Jenny Dow | Liberal | 6,375 | 19.7 | -2.5 | 24.8 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: north, south-east and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-candidate-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 59.7% in the south-west to 83.7% in the north.
| Voter group | ALP 2CP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 83.7 | 7,138 | 19.8 |
| South-West | 59.7 | 6,309 | 17.5 |
| South-East | 76.0 | 5,956 | 16.5 |
| Pre-poll | 63.4 | 11,531 | 32.0 |
| Other votes | 70.9 | 5,117 | 14.2 |
Election results in Broadmeadows at the 2018 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-candidate-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and independent candidates.
Is the sitting MP in any relation to Hot Seat host Eddie McGuire?
Yes Frank McGuire is Eddie’s brother. Apparently he was a former journalist before winning the by-election to replace John Brumby.
AJP, Vic Socialists, Greens and even the Socialist Alliance (in the form of an endorsed independent) are running here. Splits the left-wing vote a fair bit.
Liberals have preselected Baris Duzova https://www.facebook.com/barisduzovaforbroadmeadows
Broadmeadows is one of the safest Labor seats in Victoria. Labor chose not to preselect Frank McGuire, who was a factional independant within Labor. McGuire focussed entirely on key projects around Broadmeadows Town Centre. He was sometimes abrasive to constutuents, often failing to respond to constituent letters or on local issues. During the time the suburb of Fawkner was in his electorate I never saw him attend the local festival, the Fawkner Festa once. The irony is he has probably been very pro-active since being dropped from pre-selection.
So this election the ALP chose to endorse Kathleen Matthews Ward for Broadmeadows. Matthews-Ward lives in Glenroy, has served two terms on Merri-bek Council (2004-2012). She was well respected by other Councillors for her drive and commitment. I have met with Matthews-Ward and her willingness to listen and general style of campaigning impressed me.
The issue will be whether The Greens, AJP, Reason Party, Victorian Socialists, and Socialist Alliance candidates all get their candidate deposit back
My prediction: Kathleen Matthews-Ward will win this seat easily for Labor on Primaries.
Labor will win for sure. This is another electorate where the combined primary vote for the majors will decrease and splinter off to minor and micro parties.
This area seemed to have really high support for UAP and ONP at the federal election. All up it was 15% to 20% at some booths in and around Broadmeadows, Dallas and Campbellfield. I expect a strong showing for the anti-Dan and freedom candidates at the state election.
I had a quick look at the Victorian Socialists’ website. They seem to focus more on the northern and western suburbs and position themselves as an old-school workers’ party and more focused on economic issues. They claim that the Greens only stand for middle-class, inner-city voters and have “forgoten the working class”.