ALP 15.8%
Incumbent MP
Hong Lim, since 2014. Previously member for Clayton 1996-2014.
Geography
Southeastern Melbourne. Clarinda covers the suburbs of Clarinda, Clayton South, Heatherton and Oakleigh and parts of Bentleigh East, Cheltenham, Clayton, Springvale and Springvale South. Clarinda covers parts of four local government areas: Glen Eira, Greater Dandenong, Kingston and Monash, with a majority of the electorate in the City of Kingston.
History
The seat of Clayton was renamed Clarinda in 2014.
Clayton was first created for the 1985 election, and it has always been won by the ALP.
Gerard Vaughan won the seat in 1985, he had previously held the seat of Glenhuntly since 1979. Vaughan held the seat until 1996.
In 1996, Clayton was won by Hong Lim, also of the ALP. He has been re-elected five times.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Hong Lim is not running for re-election.
- Zhi Gang Zhuang (Transport Matters)
- Josh Fergeus (Greens)
- Gandhi Bevinakoppa (Liberal)
- Michael Gardner (Independent)
- Meng Heang Tak (Labor)
Assessment
Clarinda is a safe Labor seat.
2014 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Hong Lim | Labor | 20,082 | 53.3 | +1.0 |
| Gandhi Bevinakoppa | Liberal | 10,986 | 29.1 | -4.1 |
| James Talbot-Kamoen | Greens | 4,254 | 11.3 | +2.7 |
| Melanie Vassiliou | Rise Up Australia | 1,343 | 3.6 | +3.6 |
| James Marinis | Independent | 1,035 | 2.7 | +2.7 |
| Informal | 2,466 | 6.1 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Hong Lim | Labor | 24,832 | 65.8 | +3.4 |
| Gandhi Bevinakoppa | Liberal | 12,879 | 34.2 | -3.4 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Clarinda have been divided into four parts: central, east, north-west and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 53.7% in the south-west to 77.3% in the east.
The Greens primary vote ranged from 9% in the east to 11.8% in the south-west.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North-West | 11.5 | 63.5 | 7,184 | 19.1 |
| Central | 9.7 | 71.0 | 6,025 | 16.0 |
| East | 9.0 | 77.3 | 5,927 | 15.7 |
| South-West | 11.8 | 53.7 | 5,196 | 13.8 |
| Other votes | 11.6 | 63.6 | 5,994 | 15.9 |
| Pre-poll | 13.5 | 65.1 | 7,374 | 19.6 |
Election results in Clarinda at the 2014 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.
This is a bit of an odd seat. It contains bits and pieces of major suburbs (Clayton, Oakleigh, Springvale) without really focussing clearly on any of them. Then it jumps the Dingley green wedge to include areas around Cheltenham, which are quite distinct politically as well as geographically.
Labor will win comfortably, but this is the sort of seat that might be abolished or significantly knocked around at the next redistribution.
Libs yet to preselect here, which seven weeks from an election tells you about their expectations.
As Mark said, those bits of Bentleigh East and Cheltenham would be better suited in other seats.
PJ, the Liberals have preselected Gandhi, who ran in this seat last time.
Ah, my mistake – I’d heard they hadn’t yet. Thanks PRP.
My prediction: Easy Labor hold.