LIB 10.6%
Incumbent MP
Matthew Guy, since 2014. Previously member of the Legislative Council representing Northern Metropolitan, 2006-2014.
Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Bulleen covers western parts of the City of Manningham, specifically the suburbs of Bulleen, Lower Templestowe and Templestowe and parts of Doncaster.
History
Bulleen was first created before the 1985 election. It has always been held by the Liberal Party. Bulleen was first won in 1985 by David Perrin. He served as a shadow minister from 1988 to 1991, but did not serve as a minister in the Kennett government. Perrin lost preselection at the 1999 election to Nicholas Kotsiras.
Kotsiras was re-elected three times, and retired in 2014.
Matthew Guy won Bulleen in 2014. Guy had served as a member of the Legislative Council since 2006, and had served as Minister for Planning in the Liberal government from 2010 until 2014. Guy was elected leader of the Liberal Party following the 2014 election.
Candidates
- Chris Kearney (Greens)
- Matthew Guy (Liberal)
- Fiona Mackenzie (Labor)
Assessment
Bulleen is a safe Liberal seat.
2014 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Matthew Guy | Liberal | 21,983 | 56.2 | -3.7 |
| Adam Rundell | Labor | 11,859 | 30.3 | +3.4 |
| Ben Cronly | Greens | 3,824 | 9.8 | +0.9 |
| Eleni Arapoglou | Australian Christians | 1,452 | 3.7 | +3.7 |
| Informal | 2,018 | 4.9 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Matthew Guy | Liberal | 23,699 | 60.6 | -4.5 |
| Adam Rundell | Labor | 15,438 | 39.4 | +4.5 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Bulleen have been divided into three areas: central, east and west.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 56.1% in the west to 60.7% in the north-east.
| Voter group | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-East | 59.3 | 8,438 | 21.6 |
| North-East | 60.7 | 8,166 | 20.9 |
| West | 56.1 | 7,241 | 18.5 |
| Other votes | 63.5 | 7,231 | 18.5 |
| Pre-poll | 63.2 | 8,042 | 20.6 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Bulleen at the 2014 Victorian state election
My prediction: Easy Liberal hold.
ABC Radio has just announced the Mathew Guy is to stand down as Liberal leader in Victoria. However I think he should say on as a back bench MP as he has not done anything controversial to warrant leaving parliament.