LIB 17.2%
Incumbent MP
Ryan Smith, since 2006.
Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Warrandyte covers the suburbs of Parkwood, Warrandyte, North Warrandyte, Warrandyte South,Warranwood, Wonga Park and parts of Donvale and Doncaster East. The electorate mostly covers eastern parts of the City of Manningham, as well as the suburb of North Warrandyte on the northern side of the Yarra River in Nillumbik Shire, and small parts of Maroondah and Yarra Ranges council areas.
Redistribution
Warrandyte was substantively redrawn in the recent redistribution. Warrandyte lost the suburbs of Croydon Hils, Croydon North and Ringwood North to the electorates of Croydon and Ringwood. Warrandyte took in a large part of the abolished seat of Doncaster, including Donvale and Doncaster East. It also took in North Warrandyte from Yan Yean, which is the only spot in metropolitan Melbourne where an electorate crosses the Yarra River. Warrandyte also took in parts of Bulleen and Evelyn. These changes increased the Liberal margin from 13.9% to 17.2%.
History
Warrandyte was created for the 1976 election. It has been won by the Liberal Party at all elections except for two elections in the 1980s when the seat was won by the Labor Party.
Warrandyte was first won in 1976 by the Liberal Party’s Norman Lacy, who had previously won the seat of Ringwood in 1973. He held the seat for two terms, losing in 1982.
The ALP’s Lou Hill won Warrandyte in 1982, and was re-elected in 1985. In 1988 he was defeated by the Liberal Party’s Phil Honeywood.
Honeywood became a Parliamentary Secretary when the Kennett government was elected in 1992, and became a minister when the government was re-elected in 1996. He served as an Opposition frontbencher from 1999 until his retirement in 2006.
Warrandyte was won in 2006 by the Liberal Party’s Ryan Smith.
Smith was re-elected in 2010, and has served as Minister for Environment and Climate Change and Minister for Youth Affairs since the 2010 election.
Candidates
- Steven Kent (Labor)
- Keith Lyon (Country Alliance)
- Ryan Smith (Liberal)
- Richard Cranston (Greens)
- David Leach (Australian Christians)
Assessment
Warrandyte is a safe Liberal seat.
2010 election result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Ryan Smith | Liberal | 22,150 | 58.53 | +7.73 | 61.83 |
Meghan Hopper | Labor | 9,920 | 26.21 | -2.98 | 24.72 |
Chris Padgham | Greens | 4,221 | 11.15 | -3.19 | 9.97 |
Yasmin De Zilwa | Family First | 1,106 | 2.92 | -2.75 | 2.89 |
Paul Slattery | Independent | 446 | 1.18 | +1.18 | 0.37 |
Democratic Labor | 0.08 | ||||
Country Alliance | 0.04 | ||||
Other independents | 0.10 |
2010 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Ryan Smith | Liberal | 24,176 | 63.87 | +4.88 | 67.20 |
Meghan Hopper | Labor | 13,675 | 36.13 | -4.88 | 32.80 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Warrandyte have been divided into four areas: east, north, south-west and west.
The Liberal Party won a large two-party-preferred majority in all four areas, ranging from 63.2% in the north to 69.5% in the east.
The Greens came third, with a vote ranging from 6.8% in the west to 16.2% in the north.
Voter group | GRN % | LIB 2PP % | Total | % of votes |
South-West | 7.25 | 64.87 | 10,833 | 27.56 |
North | 16.22 | 63.19 | 5,609 | 14.27 |
East | 9.83 | 69.52 | 5,369 | 13.66 |
West | 6.79 | 68.44 | 4,463 | 11.35 |
Other votes | 10.68 | 68.29 | 13,036 | 33.16 |
Keith Lyon is nominated for the Country Alliance
Ryan Smith is perhaps fortunate that this seat is named Warrandyte, as far more voters come from Doncaster than the old Warrandyte. (Conversely, more voters from the old Warrandyte are now in Croydon, though slightly less than from Kilsyth.)
With a different name, Mary Wooldridge would have had a strong claim to this seat.