Kororoit – Victoria 2014

ALP 17.5%

Incumbent MP
Marlene Kairouz, since 2008.

Geography
Outer western Melbourne. Kororoit covers the suburbs of Burnside, Burnside Heights, Cairnlea, Caroline Springs, Deer Park, Derrimut, Kings Park and Ravenhall, and extends further west, stopping just short of Melton and including Rockbank. The seat covers south-western parts of the City of Brimbank and south-eastern parts of the City of Melton.

Map of Kororoit's 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Kororoit’s 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Kororoit expanded to cover a much larger area, taking in western parts of Derrimut, including Derrimut, Cairnlea and the remainder of Deer Park, all on the eastern edge of the existing electorate, as well as taking in a large area to the west of the existing electorate from Melton, although that area does not contain a large population. Kororoit also lost part of St Albans to the new seat of the same name.

History
Kororoit was first created as an electoral district at the 2002 state election. The seat has been won by the ALP at every election since.

Kororoit was won in 2002 by Andre Haermeyer. He had previously won the newly-created marginal seat of Yan Yean in 1992. Haermeyer joined the Labor frontbench in 1996, and when Labor won government in 1999 he became Police Minister. He moved from Yan Yean to the much safer seat of Kororoit in 2002. Haermeyer moved to a new portfolio in 2005, and he moved to the backbench after the 2006 election.

Haermeyer resigned from Parliament in June 2008. The following by-election was won by AWU official Marlene Kairouz, and she was re-elected in 2010.

Candidates

  1. Margaret Giudice (Independent)
  2. Philip Hill (Greens)
  3. Goran Kesic (Liberal)
  4. Shashi Turner (Voice for the West)
  5. Marlene Kairouz (Labor)

Assessment
Kororoit is a very safe Labor seat.

2010 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Marlene Kairouz Labor 19,891 55.82 +7.82 53.59
Goran Kesic Liberal 8,912 25.01 +3.98 24.78
Anastasia Smietanka Greens 3,513 9.86 +5.23 11.12
Kathy Majdlik Independent 1,888 5.30 +5.3 4.17
Glenn Rozec Family First 1,432 4.02 +4.02 4.54
Democratic Labor 1.57
Country Alliance 0.06
Socialist Alliance 0.02
Other independents 0.14

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Marlene Kairouz Labor 24,453 68.58 -6.98 67.47
Goran Kesic Liberal 11,203 31.42 +6.98 32.53
Polling places in Kororoit at the 2010 Victorian state election. East in green, South in blue, West in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Kororoit at the 2010 Victorian state election. East in green, South in blue, West in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Kororoit have been divided into three areas: south, east and west.

The ALP won a large majority of the two-party-preferred vote – 67% in the south and west, and 73% in the east.

The Greens came third with a vote ranging from 9% in the west to 12.7% in the south.

Voter group GRN % ALP 2PP % Total % of votes
South 12.72 67.21 9,550 27.27
West 9.02 67.13 8,007 22.86
East 10.21 73.15 5,906 16.86
Other votes 11.73 65.02 11,563 33.01
Two-party-preferred votes in Kororoit at the 2010 Victorian state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Kororoit at the 2010 Victorian state election.
Greens primary votes in Kororoit at the 2010 Victorian state election.
Greens primary votes in Kororoit at the 2010 Victorian state election.

5 COMMENTS

  2. Margaret is a former Labor mayor and longtime Labor member, who once fancied her chances to win Labor preselection for this seat, but it wasn’t to be.

    She’s a good representative though and should be good for five per cent.

  3. Margaret Guidice is endorsed by stop the tip committee. You can find information on her at stop the tip residents forum Facebook page. I don’t think this seat is as safe as you think. Many constituents want the Boral landfill closed.

  4. It won’t be though – it has long had a permit and has been there for longer than its nearby residents. It’s very presence makes those suburbs affordable – it’s one thing to oppose expansion but another to turn up next to an existing and privately owned business and then demand it’s closure.

    The local issue is that the tip wanted to expand, but this was opposed by all sides (including Kairouz, who ran heavily against the proposal) and was ultimately rejected by Melton Council.

    Given blanket opposition to the expansion, it’s hard to see this becoming a state political issue. Why elect an independent when the big boys oppose the tip too?

    If Margaret is backed by Stop The Tip (which is bankrolled by local developers who want their land to increase in value) then she may get as much as 10%, as Kathy did last time, but I still fully expect Kairouz to win on primary votes.

Comments are closed.