Kilsyth – Victoria 2010

LIB 0.4%

Incumbent MP
David Hodgett, since 2006.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Kilsyth covers eastern parts of the City of Maroondah and parts of the Yarra Ranges, specifically the suburbs of Bayswater North and Croydon South and parts of Kilsyth, Lilydale and Montrose.

History
Kilsyth was created at the 2002 election. The seat was considered relatively safe for the Liberal Party, and was contested by sitting Liberal member for the abolished seat of Mooroolbark, Lorraine Elliott. In an upset result, Labor candidate Dympna Beard won the seat with a massive swing.

In 2006, Beard’s 2.1% margin was overturned by the Liberal Party’s David Hodgett, who won the seat with a margin of 245 votes.

Candidates

Political situation
Kilsyth is one of the most marginal seats in Victoria and will be fiercely contested. It is likely the Liberal Party will hold on.

2006 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
David Hodgett LIB 15,098 43.62 -1.40
Dympna Beard ALP 13,460 38.89 -4.94
Salore Craig GRN 2,982 8.62 -1.53
Gillian Schwab FF 2,332 6.74 +6.74
Patsy Hill IND 742 2.14 +2.14

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
David Hodgett LIB 17,428 50.35 +2.44
Dympna Beard ALP 17,183 49.65 -2.44

Booth breakdown
Booths in Kilsyth have been divided into three areas. Those in the City of Maroondah have been divided between those around Croydon and Ringwood, and those around Mooroolbark in Yarra Ranges Shire.

The Liberal Party won a 50.5% margin in the Croydon area, while the ALP won a 51% margin in Mooroolbark and a 51.4% margin in Ringwood.

 

Polling booths in Kilsyth at the 2006 state election. Croydon in green, Ringwood in blue, Mooroolbark in yellow.
Voter group GRN % LIB 2CP % Total votes % of votes
Croydon 9.29 50.46 9,962 28.77
Mooroolbark 6.99 49.02 9,821 28.36
Ringwood 9.25 48.55 7,005 20.23
Other votes 9.22 53.12 7,841 22.66
Two-party-preferred votes in Kilsyth at the 2006 state election.

 

4 COMMENTS

  1. Labor has an interesting candidate in Vicki Setches, She won Australias first US style primary a few months back against a well financed , highly credentialed ,local govt. type . Her strength being she is a very local candidate. grew up in Sth Croydon, schooled locally , married, and bought up her children in the area and been a participant in many local community groups covering Parent involvement, sporting clubs , and local enviro protection .As well she has a small family business background & worked locally in Retail sales & management.She currently works for Shaun Leane labors upper house member for Eastern Melb. where her role is to work with local groups , which from reports she does very successfuly.

  2. Is she related to Kay Setches, who held the former nearby state seat of Ringwood? It would bring a bit of cynicism into the whole “primary style” pre-selection if the winner was a party insider.

  4. Candidates in ballot paper order are:

    Shane McKenzie –
    Sam Haughton-Greene – Sex Party
    Justin-Paul Sammons – Greens
    David Hodgett – Liberal
    Reinhard Dexter – DLP
    Daniel Harrison – Family First
    Vicki Setches – Labor

    For newcomers I think it’s worth an acknowledgment that Justin-Paul is a past contributor of guest posts to this blog during the 2009 European elections.

Comments are closed.