Geelong – Victoria 2010

ALP 8.3%

Incumbent MP
Ian Trezise, since 1999.

Geography
Central suburbs of Geelong, including the suburbs of Breakwater, Fyansford, Geelong, Geelong East, Geelong South, Geelong West, Hamlyn Heights, Herne Hill, Manifold Heights and Newtown and parts of Bell Park, Highton, North Geelong and St Albans Park.

History
There has been an electoral district named Geelong in the Legislative Assembly for most of the Assembly’s existence. It existed as a four-member district from 1856 to 1859, then as a three-member district from 1877 to 1889, then as a two-member district from 1889 to 1904.

The single-member district existed from 1904 until 1976, and again since 1985. The seat long alternated between Labor and the Liberal/Nationalist parties. Since 1952 it has always been held by the party in government.

The newly created seat of Geelong was won in 1985 by the ALP’s Hayden Shell. He had held the seat of Geelong West since 1982. He held Geelong until 1992, when he was defeated by Ann Henderson of the Liberal Party.

Henderson was re-elected in 1996, but in 1999 she narrowly lost to the ALP’s Ian Trezise, who won a 0.03% margin, after gaining a 3.5% swing. The 2002 redistribution made Geelong a notional Liberal seat, but Trezise gained an 8.6% swing. In 2006 Trezise increased his margin from 8.1% to 8.3%.

Candidates

Political situation
On paper Geelong is held by the ALP with a large margin, but recent history suggests this seat could be vulnerable if the Liberal Party performs strongly.

2006 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Ian Trezise ALP 17,069 48.99 -1.61
Scott Dixon LIB 12,317 35.35 -2.62
Bruce Lindsay GRN 3,169 9.10 +1.75
Gary Plumridge FF 1,684 4.83 +4.83
Elise Teer PP 603 1.73 +1.73

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Ian Trezise ALP 20,213 58.33 +0.23
Scott Dixon LIB 14,441 41.67 -0.23

Booth breakdown
Booths in Geelong have been divided into three areas: East, which includes the centre of Geelong; North, which includes Manifold Heights and Bell Park; and Central, which includes Highton.

The ALP won majorities of around 63-4% in the north and east of the seat. In the centre, however, the Liberal Party won a slim 50.25% majority.

 

Polling booths in Geelong at the 2006 state election. North in yellow, Central in green, East in blue.
Voter group GRN % ALP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
North 7.60 63.04 12,270 35.41
Central 9.83 49.75 8,496 24.52
East 9.11 63.98 5,869 16.94
Other votes 10.57 56.07 8,019 23.14
Two-party-preferred votes in Geelong at the 2006 state election.

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