Essendon – Victoria 2010

ALP 11.7%

Incumbent MP
Judy Maddigan, since 1996.

Geography
Western Melbourne. Essendon covers eastern parts of the City of Moonee Valley, specifically the suburbs of Aberfeldie, Ascot Vale, Ascot Vale West, Moonee Ponds, Strathmore and Strathmore Heights and parts of Essendon, Essendon North and Flemington.

History
Essendon has existed as an electoral district since 1904. Apart from one term in the 1950s when the seat was abolished, it has alternated between the ALP and conservative parties. At most elections since the 1950s it has been won by the party of government, with a few exceptions.

Essendon was first won by William Watt of the Liberal Party. He had previously served as Member for North Melbourne and East Melbourne since 1897.

Watt served as Premier for Victoria in two six-month stints from 1912 to 1914. In 1914 Watt resigned from Essendon to run for the federal seat of Balaclava for the Liberal Party. He served as a senior member of Billy Hughes’ Nationalist government before falling out with Hughes. He later served as Speaker from 1923 to 1926, and retired in 1929.

The 1914 by-election was won by the ALP’s Maurice Blackburn. He lost his seat in 1917, later returning as Member for Fitzroy and then Clifton Hill from 1925 to 1934, when he resigned to take the federal seat of Bourke. Blackburn regularly defied the ALP leadership and was expelled from the ALP in 1941, losing his seat in 1943.

Thomas Ryan won Essendon in 1917 and held it until his defeat in 1924 by the ALP’s Francis Keane. He held Essendon for one term before moving to Coburg in 1927, holding it until 1940.

In 1927, Essendon was won by Arthur Drakeford, who held it until his defeat in 1932. He held the federal seat of Maribyrnong from 1934 to 1955, serving as a minister in the Curtin and Chifley governments during  the 1940s and serving until he lost his seat in 1955 following the ALP split which caused the creation of the Democratic Labor Party.

James Dillon held Essendon for the United Australia Party from 1932 to 1943, when he lost to Samuel Merrifield. Merrifield moved to Moonee Ponds in 1945, holding it until his defeat in 1955. He then served as an upper house member for Doutta Galla province from 1958 to 1970.

Arthur Drakeford Jr won Essendon in 1945, holding it for one term before losing in 1947. He later won Pascoe Vale in 1955 and holding it until its abolition in 1958.

Allen Bateman held Essendon for the Liberal Party for one term from 1947 to 1950, when he was defeated by George Fewster of the ALP. He held the seat until 1955 when Essendon was abolished.

Essendon was restored after one term in 1958, when it was won by the Liberal Party’s Kenneth Wheeler. He held Essendon until 1979, serving as Speaker from 1973 until his retirement.

Essendon was held from 1979 to 1992 by Barry Rowe of the ALP. He served as a minister in the Labor government from 1989 to 1991. In 1992 he contested the seat of Gisborne unsuccessfully, while Essendon was won by the Liberal Party’s Ian Davis.

Davis held Essendon for one term, losing in 1996 to Judy Maddigan. Maddigan served as Speaker of the Legislative  Assembly from 2002 to 2006.

Candidates

Political situation
Essendon is reasonably safe for the ALP, but it wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility for the Labor hold on the seat to be threatened.

2006 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Judy Maddigan ALP 16,383 49.87 -4.67
Conrad D’Souza LIB 10,939 33.30 +1.84
Bob Muntz GRN 3,995 12.16 -0.29
Arthur Tsiglopoulos FF 997 3.03 +3.03
Philip Cutler IND 414 1.26 +1.26
Jeremy Beck CEC 125 0.38 -1.17

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Judy Maddigan ALP 20,276 61.70 -4.22
Conrad D’Souza LIB 12,586 38.30 +4.22

Booth breakdown
Polling booths in Essendon have been divided into four areas, around major suburbs of Essendon, Strathmore, Moonee Ponds and Ascot Vale.

The ALP polled most strongly at the southern end of the seat, with the ALP vote reducing in areas further north.

 

Polling booths in Essendon at the 2006 state election. Ascot Vale in blue, Moonee Ponds in red, Essendon in green, Strathmore in yellow.

 

 

 

Voter group GRN % ALP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
Essendon 10.86 59.24 8,705 26.49
Moonee Ponds 13.02 64.13 6,449 19.62
Ascot Vale 14.25 68.80 5,766 17.55
Strathmore 9.88 56.22 5,149 15.67
Other votes 12.95 60.67 6,793 20.67
Two-party-preferred votes in Essendon at the 2006 state election.
Greens primary votes in Essendon at the 2006 state election.

6 COMMENTS

  1. Essendon and Strathmore have always been some of the most affluent and Liberal-leaning parts of the northern/western suburbs, but the southern parts around Ascot Vale and Flemington are more solid inner-city Labor with an increasing Green tinge. Essendon is the sort of seat that gets interesting when the Liberals are in government, and like many “fairly safe” Labor seats it was very marginal during the Kennett years But the Liberals don’t win it except at landslides (eg 1992).

  2. Judy Maddigan is standing down and will not be contending Essendon.

    Planning Minister Justin Madden is switching from the Upper House and attempting to get elected in to the lower house for Essendon.

    The Greens candidate is Moonee Valley councilor, Rose Iser.

  3. Essendon has changed from Liberal to ALP at the last election before the defeat of the 2 previous Liberal Governments and been held by the ALP during all of their current and their previous Government.

  4. Interesting that Madden would run here. He’s in no trouble this time around, but this is still the kind of seat that would unceremoniously dump him if Labor fell in a hole. If he aspires to greater things, there are plenty of safer Labor seats out there.

  5. The Liberal candidate is Rebecca Gauci.

    Also running as an independent is Moonee Valley councillor and former Mayor Paul Giuliano. How well-known is he? What impact might he have?

  6. Candidates in ballot paper order are:

    Justin Madden – Labor
    Sarah Notaro – DLP
    Paul Giuliano –
    Rose Iser – Greens
    Rebecca Gauci – Liberal

Comments are closed.