Wright – SA 2018

ALP 4.5%

Incumbent MP
Jennifer Rankine, since 1997.

Geography
Northern Adelaide. Wright covers parts of Salisbury and Tea Tree Gully council areas, including the suburb of Salisbury East and parts of Salisbury Heights, Greenwith, Golden Grove, Gulfview Heights and Wynn Vale.

Redistribution
Wright shifted south, losing Golden Grove and Greenwith to King, and gaining Brahma Lodge and Salisbury South from Ramsay, Gulfview Heights from Playford, Modbury Heights from Florey, and Surrey Downs and Redwood Park from Newland. These changes increased the Labor margin from 3% to 4.5%.

History
The electorate of Wright has existed since the 1993 election. The seat was won by the Liberal Party at the 1993 landslide election but has been won by Labor at every other election.

The seat was created as a notionally safe Labor seat, but at the 1993 election a landslide swept in the Liberal Party’s Scott Ashenden.

In 1997, Ashenden lost to the ALP’s Jennifer Rankine. Rankine has held the seat ever since, winning re-election four times.

Candidates

Assessment
Wright is a marginal Labor seat. The loss of the incumbent MP may hurt Labor’s vote.

2014 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Jennifer Rankine Labor 9,838 43.6 -4.6 45.4
Lyn Petrie Liberal 8,685 38.5 +1.2 37.9
Mark Potter Family First 1,904 8.4 +1.7 8.5
Tom Lowe Greens 1,441 6.4 +1.0 7.0
Danyse Soester Independent 696 3.1 +3.1 1.4
Informal 856 3.7

2014 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Jennifer Rankine Labor 11,965 53.0 -1.8 54.5
Lyn Petrie Liberal 10,599 47.0 +1.8 45.5

Booth breakdown

Booths in Light have been divided into three areas: central, north and east.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.8% in the east to 58.9% in the north.

Voter group ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Central 54.2 9,099 36.0
North 58.9 6,197 24.5
East 53.8 4,229 16.7
Other votes 51.9 5,757 22.8

Two-party-preferred votes in Wright at the 2014 SA state election


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6 COMMENTS

  1. It should say “Wright shifted south, losing Golden Grove and Greenwith to King”, you accidentally put in Little Para.

    Also, with the loss of the Golden Grove area and the inclusion of the Salisbury-area booths from Ramsay, it will be hard for the Liberals to win this unless they win big statewide.

  2. AK, yes because of the fairness criteria, Wright definitely seems to be the ‘sacrifice’ that they had to make to shore up the Liberal position in neighbouring seats.

  3. My prediction: Likely Labor hold, unless the Liberals do really well in the north-eastern suburbs.

  4. My seat, was moved from Newland in the redistribution. Judging by the amount of promotional material I have seen in the last week, Labor are worried about losing this one while the Liberals aren’t especially hopeful of gaining it.

    Predicting a narrow Labor hold here

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