ALP 4.5%
Incumbent MP
Jennifer Rankine, since 1997.
Geography
Northern Adelaide. Wright covers parts of Salisbury and Tea Tree Gully council areas, including the suburb of Salisbury East and parts of Salisbury Heights, Greenwith, Golden Grove, Gulfview Heights and Wynn Vale.
Redistribution
Wright shifted south, losing Golden Grove and Greenwith to King, and gaining Brahma Lodge and Salisbury South from Ramsay, Gulfview Heights from Playford, Modbury Heights from Florey, and Surrey Downs and Redwood Park from Newland. These changes increased the Labor margin from 3% to 4.5%.
History
The electorate of Wright has existed since the 1993 election. The seat was won by the Liberal Party at the 1993 landslide election but has been won by Labor at every other election.
The seat was created as a notionally safe Labor seat, but at the 1993 election a landslide swept in the Liberal Party’s Scott Ashenden.
In 1997, Ashenden lost to the ALP’s Jennifer Rankine. Rankine has held the seat ever since, winning re-election four times.
Candidates
- Blair Boyer (Labor)
- Luigi Mesisca (Liberal)
- Jennifer Harness (Greens)
- Natasha Henningsen (SA Best)
- Eric Dennis (Conservatives)
Assessment
Wright is a marginal Labor seat. The loss of the incumbent MP may hurt Labor’s vote.
2014 election result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Jennifer Rankine | Labor | 9,838 | 43.6 | -4.6 | 45.4 |
Lyn Petrie | Liberal | 8,685 | 38.5 | +1.2 | 37.9 |
Mark Potter | Family First | 1,904 | 8.4 | +1.7 | 8.5 |
Tom Lowe | Greens | 1,441 | 6.4 | +1.0 | 7.0 |
Danyse Soester | Independent | 696 | 3.1 | +3.1 | 1.4 |
Informal | 856 | 3.7 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Jennifer Rankine | Labor | 11,965 | 53.0 | -1.8 | 54.5 |
Lyn Petrie | Liberal | 10,599 | 47.0 | +1.8 | 45.5 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Light have been divided into three areas: central, north and east.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.8% in the east to 58.9% in the north.
Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
Central | 54.2 | 9,099 | 36.0 |
North | 58.9 | 6,197 | 24.5 |
East | 53.8 | 4,229 | 16.7 |
Other votes | 51.9 | 5,757 | 22.8 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Wright at the 2014 SA state election
It should say “Wright shifted south, losing Golden Grove and Greenwith to King”, you accidentally put in Little Para.
Also, with the loss of the Golden Grove area and the inclusion of the Salisbury-area booths from Ramsay, it will be hard for the Liberals to win this unless they win big statewide.
Ah thanks, will fix.
AK, yes because of the fairness criteria, Wright definitely seems to be the ‘sacrifice’ that they had to make to shore up the Liberal position in neighbouring seats.
My prediction: Likely Labor hold, unless the Liberals do really well in the north-eastern suburbs.
Has anyone considered the SA Best Candidate at all, could be the dark horse.
My seat, was moved from Newland in the redistribution. Judging by the amount of promotional material I have seen in the last week, Labor are worried about losing this one while the Liberals aren’t especially hopeful of gaining it.
Predicting a narrow Labor hold here