LIB 12.4%
Incumbent MP
Stephan Knoll, since 2014.
Geography
Regional South Australia. Schubert covers parts of the Barossa Valley, ranging from the Adelaide Hills in the west to the Murray River in the east. Schubert covers the towns of Nuriootpa, Angaston, Tanunda, Gumeracha, Birdwood, Mannum and Mount Torrens.
Redistribution
Schubert shifted west, losing Fisher, Sedan and Towitta to Chaffey; Cambrai, Sanderston, Palmer, Black Hill and Sunnydale to Hammond; and Kersbrook and Warren to Newland. Schubert gained Magdalla from Light and Korunye from Goyder. These changes cut the Liberal margin from 14.6% to 12.4%.
History
The electorate of Schubert has existed since 1997, when it replaced the seat of Custance.
The electorate of Custance had been first created for the 1985 election, when it was won by Liberal leader John Olsen, who had been in Parliament since 1979.
Olsen was re-elected in 1989, when he led the Liberal Party to another election defeat. In 1990, he resigned from Parliament to fill a Liberal Party vacancy in the Australian Senate.
Liberal candidate Ivan Venning won the 1990 Custance by-election. Venning was re-elected in Custance in 1993, and won Schubert four times between 1997 and 2010.
Venning retired in 2014, and Liberal candidate Stephan Knoll was elected.
Candidates
- David Haebich (Labor)
- Paul Brown (SA Best)
- Dave Irving (Greens)
- Stephan Knoll (Liberal)
- Rikki Lambert (Conservatives)
Assessment
Schubert is a safe Liberal seat. It was also a reasonably strong area for the Nick Xenophon Team in 2016.
2014 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Stephan Knoll | Liberal | 11,922 | 54.1 | -3.2 | 53.1 |
| Adam Slobodian | Labor | 5,180 | 23.5 | +0.6 | 25.3 |
| Tony Hurn | Family First | 2,713 | 12.3 | +5.8 | 11.9 |
| Jasemin Rose | Greens | 2,221 | 10.1 | +0.9 | 9.7 |
| Informal | 697 | 3.1 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Stephan Knoll | Liberal | 14,237 | 64.6 | -3.2 | 62.4 |
| Adam Slobodian | Labor | 7,799 | 35.4 | +3.2 | 37.6 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Schubert have been divided into four areas: central, east, north-east and north-west.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 58.7% in the north-west to 68.7% in the north-east.
The Greens vote ranged from 8.8% in the north-west to 14.4% in the east.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North-East | 9.0 | 68.7 | 7,020 | 34.7 |
| Central | 11.4 | 59.2 | 3,222 | 15.9 |
| North-West | 8.8 | 58.7 | 3,028 | 15.0 |
| East | 14.4 | 64.7 | 1,585 | 7.8 |
| Other votes | 8.8 | 61.2 | 5,348 | 26.5 |
Election results in Schubert at the 2014 SA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.
Become a Patron!
Labor’s candidate is David Haebich (https://www.barossaherald.com.au/story/5190500/meet-schuberts-labor-party-candidate/)
My prediction: Liberal hold, would be an easy hold if it wasn’t for SA Best.