ALP 17.4%
Incumbent MP
Zoe Bettison, since 2012.
Geography
Northern Adelaide. Ramsay is centred on the Salisbury area, including Salisbury, Paralowie, Salisbury North, Salisbury Downs and Salisbury Plains.
Redistribution
Ramsay shifted north, gaining Paralowie and the remainder of Salisbury North from Taylor, and losing Brahma Lodge and Salisbury South to Wright and losing the remainder of Parafield Gardens to Playford. These changes cut the Labor margin from 18.4% to 17.4%.
History
The electorate of Ramsay has existed since the 1985 election. The seat was successively held by two Labor premiers, prior to the 2012 by-election.
Lynn Arnold won Ramsay in 1985, having held the previous seat of Salisbury from 1978 to 1985. Arnold served as a minister from 1982, and 1992 became the Premier of South Australia at the tail-end of the Labor government in 1992.
Arnold shifted to the new seat of Taylor at the 1993 election, when he also lost government. Arnold resigned from Parliament in 1994.
Mike Rann won Ramsay at the 1993 election. Rann had previously held the seat of Briggs from 1985 until its abolition in 1993. Rann was elected leader of the South Australian Labor Party in 1994.
Rann led the ALP into government at the 2002 election, and served as Premier for eleven years, until October 2011. Rann resigned from Parliament in early 2012.
Labor candidate Zoe Bettison won the 2012 by-election, and was re-elected in 2014.
Candidates
- Mark Aldridge (Independent)
- Brett Ferris (Greens)
- Nick Charles (Liberal)
- Domenico Ialeggio (Conservatives)
- Zoe Bettison (Labor)
- Tarnia George (SA Best)
Assessment
Ramsay is a safe Labor seat.
2014 election result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Zoe Bettison | Labor | 11,283 | 56.1 | -1.7 | 55.3 |
Anthony Antoniadis | Liberal | 4,988 | 24.8 | -0.2 | 25.9 |
Paul Coombe | Family First | 2,347 | 11.7 | +2.1 | 11.4 |
Brett Ferris | Greens | 1,483 | 7.4 | +2.8 | 7.4 |
Informal | 1,041 | 4.9 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Zoe Bettison | Labor | 13,742 | 68.4 | +0.5 | 67.4 |
Anthony Antoniadis | Liberal | 6,359 | 31.6 | -0.5 | 32.6 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Ramsay have been divided into three areas: east, north-west, and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 64.7% in the east to 70.2% in the south-west.
The Family First vote ranged from 10.4% in the south-west to 11.4% in the north-west.
Voter group | FF prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
North-West | 11.4 | 69.0 | 11,337 | 52.5 |
East | 10.8 | 64.7 | 2,959 | 13.7 |
South-West | 10.4 | 70.2 | 2,884 | 13.4 |
Other votes | 12.6 | 62.7 | 4,411 | 20.4 |
Election results in Ramsay at the 2014 SA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Family First primary votes.
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My prediction: Easy Labor hold.