LIB 26.7%
Incumbent MP
Mitch Williams, since 1997.
Geography
South-eastern parts of South Australia. MacKillop stretches from the mouth of the Murray River to the border with the seat of Mount Gambier at the south-eastern corner of the state. The seat covers Bordertown, Naracoorte, Penola, Keith, Millicent and Tintinara.
Redistribution
Most of MacKillop’s boundaries remained the same. MacKillop gained an area to the east of Lake Albert from Hammond. This change did not affect the seat’s margin.
History
The electorate of MacKillop was created in 1993, as a renaming of the former seat of Victoria, which had existed continuously since 1965.
William Rodda won Victoria at the 1965 election for the Liberal and Country League, and held the seat until his retirement in 1985.
The Liberal Party’s Dale Baker won Victoria in 1985. Baker served as Liberal leader from 1990 to 1992, but didn’t lead the party to an election.
Baker was re-elected to the renamed seat of MacKillop in 1993, but four years later lost the seat to independent candidate Mitch Williams.
Williams joined the Liberal Party in 1999, and has been re-elected as a Liberal MP in 2002, 2006, 2010 and 2014.
Williams served as Liberal Party deputy leader from 2010 to 2012.
Candidates
Sitting Liberal MP Mitch Williams is not running for re-election.
- Tracy Hill (SA Best)
- Richard Bateman (Conservatives)
- Jon Ey (Independent)
- Hilary Wigg (Labor)
- Nick McBridge (Liberal)
- Donella Peters (Greens)
Assessment
MacKillop is a very safe Liberal seat.
2014 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Mitch Williams | Liberal | 13,803 | 65.1 | +5.0 |
| Terry Soulmatis | Labor | 3,099 | 14.6 | +2.1 |
| Bill Pomery | Family First | 1,602 | 7.5 | +1.7 |
| Steve Davies | Independent | 1,503 | 7.1 | +7.1 |
| Donella Peters | Greens | 1,212 | 5.7 | +2.3 |
| Informal | 638 | 2.9 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Mitch Williams | Liberal | 16,280 | 76.7 | +2.0 |
| Terry Soulmatis | Labor | 4,939 | 23.3 | -2.0 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in MacKillop have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 69% in the south to 82% in the north.
| Voter group | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 69.1 | 6,366 | 30.0 |
| Central | 79.0 | 6,023 | 28.4 |
| North | 82.2 | 4,630 | 21.8 |
| Other votes | 78.9 | 4,200 | 19.8 |
Two-party-preferred votes in MacKillop at the 2014 SA state election
My prediction: Easy Liberal hold.