Bragg – SA 2018

LIB 16.6%

Incumbent MP
Vickie Chapman, since 2002.

Geography
Eastern Adelaide. Bragg covers suburbs of Adelaide, stretching from those immediately to the south-east of the Adelaide city centre, out to the foot of the Adelaide Hills. Most of the electorate’s population lies in the City of Burnside, with a minority in the Adelaide Hills and a small area in Mitcham council and Norwood Payneham and St Peters council.

Redistribution
Bragg shifted west, losing Summertown and Uraidla to Morialta, Piccadilly to Kavel, Crafers to Heysen and Dulwich to Dunstan. Bragg picked up Beulah Park and Kensington from Dunstan, and Auldana and Rosslyn Park from Hartley.

History

The electorate of Bragg has existed since 1970, and has always been held by the Liberal Party.

The seat was first won in 1970 by David Tonkin. He was elected Liberal leader in 1975, and after losing the 1977 election, he led the Liberal Party into government in 1979. He served as Premier for one term, losing in 1982. He resigned from Parliament in 1983.

Graham Ingerson was elected to Bragg at the 1983 Bragg by-election. He served in the ministry from 1993, and as Deputy Premier from 1996, until he resigned from both roles in 1998. Ingerson retired at the 2002 election.

Vickie Chapman was elected in Bragg at the 2002 election, and has been re-elected three times. She served as Liberal Party deputy leader from 2006 to 2009, and again since February 2013.

Candidates

Assessment
Bragg is a safe Liberal seat.

2014 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Vickie Chapman Liberal 15,033 65.7 +2.6 64.9
Ella Waters Labor 4,958 21.7 +0.1 23.1
Ami Harrison Greens 2,891 12.6 +0.4 11.6
Dignity for Disability 0.2
Family First 0.2
Informal 400 1.7

2014 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Vickie Chapman Liberal 15,711 68.7 -1.5 66.6
Ella Waters Labor 7,171 31.3 +1.5 33.4

Booth breakdown

Booths in Bragg have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 62.3% in the north to 72.3% in the centre.

The Greens vote ranged from 10.2% in the centre to 12.6% in the north.

Voter group GRN prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Central 10.2 72.3 6,912 36.0
North 12.6 62.3 4,021 20.9
South 10.4 70.4 2,557 13.3
Other votes 13.1 65.7 5,715 29.8

Election results in Bragg at the 2014 SA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

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2 COMMENTS

  1. SA Best or no SA Best, this will be the easiest of all easy Liberal holds – even in the disaster of 2006 the Liberals easily won on primaries here.

  2. My prediction: Easy Liberal hold, the day this leaves Liberal hands is the day I sprout a tail.

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