ALP 4.2%
Incumbent MP
Steph Key, member for Ashford since 1997.
Geography
Inner south-western Adelaide. Badcoe covers Ashford, Glandore, Clarence Park, Kurralta Park, North Plympton, Edwardstown, Ascot Park and part of Plympton.
Redistribution
Badcoe is a new name for Ashford. The seat lost Camden Park, Plympton Park and part of Plympton to Morphett, Cumberland Park to Elder and the remainder of Goodwood to Unley. Ashford then gained Kurralta Park and North Plympton from West Torrens, and gained Edwardstown and Ascot Park from Elder. These changes improved the Labor margin from 1.9% to 4.2%.
History
The seat of Ashford has existed since 1997, and was a successor to the electorate of Hanson, which existed from 1970 to 1997.
Heini Becker won the seat of Hanson for the Liberal Party in 1970. Becker left Hanson in 1993 following a redistribution that made the seat more favourable to the ALP. Becker won the seat of Peake off the ALP, and retired in 1997.
Despite the redistribution, the Liberal Party’s Stewart Leggett won Hanson in 1993.
In 1997, Hanson was renamed Ashford. Leggett was challenged by the ALP’s Steph Key, who won with 55.6% of the two-party vote. Key was appointed to the shadow ministry in 1997, and became a minister after the 2002 election.
Key was re-elected in 2006, but was dropped from the ministry, and has served on the backbench ever since.
Candidates
- Kate Bickford (SA Best)
- Lachlan Clyne (Liberal)
- Jayne Stinson (Labor)
- Lily Durkin (Dignity)
- John Woodward (Independent)
- Stef Rozitis (Greens)
- Robyn Munro (Conservatives)
Assessment
Badcoe is a marginal Labor seat.
2014 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Steph Key | Labor | 8,597 | 39.7 | -0.3 | 41.5 |
| Terina Monteagle | Liberal | 9,335 | 43.1 | +0.6 | 40.8 |
| Christiana Griffith | Greens | 2,654 | 12.2 | -0.4 | 11.6 |
| Robyn Munro | Family First | 841 | 3.9 | -0.4 | 4.5 |
| Steve Sansom | FREE Australia | 247 | 1.1 | +1.1 | 0.8 |
| Dignity for Disability | 0.8 | ||||
| Informal | 700 | 3.1 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Steph Key | Labor | 11,247 | 51.9 | +1.3 | 54.2 |
| Terina Monteagle | Liberal | 10,427 | 48.1 | -1.3 | 45.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Badcoe have been divided into three areas: north, south-east and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.5% in the south-east to 55.4% in the south-west.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-West | 10.2 | 55.4 | 5,084 | 27.8 |
| North | 11.0 | 55.1 | 4,434 | 24.2 |
| South-East | 12.7 | 53.5 | 3,812 | 20.8 |
| Other votes | 12.6 | 51.3 | 4,980 | 27.2 |
Election results in Badcoe at the 2014 SA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.
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God help SA and its environment if this candidate Pickford succeeds:
http://www.news.rosettamoon.com/breaking-news/xenophon-china-gas-candidate-kate-bickford-exposed/
My prediction: Likely Labor hold.