Stretton – Queensland 2024

Safe ALP retain. James Martin has been very active since replacing former MP Duncan Pegg after the last election. I can see this margin halving but still being comfortably retained.

Where’s the lnp candidate?

@nolnp The LNP haven’t yet announced who they’re running in the following seven safe Labor seats: Stretton, Jordan, Bulimba, Bundamba, Gladstone, Ipswich and Woodridge. They’re probably going to run dead here.

Seems an odd choice for the LNP to run dead in, if that really is what’s going on. They won it in 2012 and were at least somewhat competitive in a few other elections.

A seat like Woodridge or Bundamba I can understand, but would be a bit weird if they did it here.

*The LNP also don’t have a candidate in Cooper, forgot that last night.

@Mark Mulcair Stretton along with Bulimba and Cooper should theoretically be winnable or close to it for the LNP if the 57-43 TPP polls are to believed, so it is strange they still don’t have candidates. My guess in another thread was that they’ve written Cooper off for the Greens but I’m not sure about the other two.

My thoughts exactly mark. The lnp won this seat in 2012 after the failings of Anna bligh and the rud Gilliard rud disaster train. Christifulli is way ahead in the polls he’s done a solid campaign so far in my opinion and the lnp are fools not to be running candidates in Stretton and those other 7 seats someone else mentioned. Also RE: Bundamba what makes you think the lnp won’t perform there or even win the seat? We saw a 25ish % swing against Labor in Ipswich west at the bi election in March Bundamba is just next door similar demographic.

This is the first year in a decade the lnp stands a chance of forming govt and they aren’t running in all electorates? They’re abandoning cooper? Seriously?!?!?!?

Reminds me of the NSW council elections fancy not running candidates in many of them because someone forgot to file the paperwork!

What numpty is making these decisions in the lnp backroom?

Time to sack some ppl in marketing lnp!

What my concern is now where is the conservative vote for Stretton going to go? They had a 2% swing at the 2021 bi election which suggests conservatism is on the rise here. Alot of ppl in this area are angry at Labor over cost of living, covid, crime and electricity. I don’t think right wingers will go green which is the only other option. Will we see a record high in donkey / invalid votes?

Thanks for reading sorry it’s long.

@nolnp they still have time to announce candidates for those 8 seats, and they will very soon. The two major parties both run in every federal and state/territory electorate no matter how unwinnable. Only exception is Mulka in the NT.

@laine yes they do but why is the lnp leaving it to the last minute? Especially if they need to win 12 seats to win govt. If I was christifulli and serious about becoming premier id have all seats filled and made public months in advance.

@nolnp There are a good thirty seats the LNP is likely to win from Labor before they win Stretton. They’ve most likely left those eight til the last minute because they’re unlikely to win them and no one serious in the community has put their hand up.

horray! The lnp have FINALLY announced their candidate for Stretton Freya Ostravich who was the member during the Newman years. Hopefully we get a repeat performance in a months time.

LNP have now got a candidate in every seat, Labor are still struggling to find candidates

Labor retain following a single digit swing to the LNP. I am sensing much bigger swings in Logan and Ipswich-based seats (partly due to the retreat in One Nation’s vote) as well as Inala (compared to four years ago) and Mount Ommaney.

Freya Ostravich’s page on Wikipedia is interesting to read.

@Votante Holy crap Freya Ostravich is actually insane 😂😂

@Trump 24 Not sure Labor is struggling to find candidates, but rather do not care if they leave it to the last minute in places they would never win even in a landslide. It’s not like they’re missing people in seats like Coomera, it’s electorates like Warrego and Callide.

And yeah I agree @Votante, Labor retain. It’s become apparent that this isn’t going to morph into a 2012-style victory at the last minute.

Labor Retain, this is probably the worst Candidate the LNP has to offer.

@Caleb something we finally agree on.

Labor retain but with a swing to the LNP, likely smaller than average because of the shit candidate.

Curious why is liberal candidate so bad?

@Mick Quinlivan – Freya Ostapovitch is known very well as a hardline conservative, especially when she ran for federal Rankin in 2016. She once claimed that abortions can lead to breast cancer. Furthermore, while she was state MP for Stretton (2012-2015), in 2014, she was filmed throwing objects at media recording her.

Even as a Coalition supporter, she should not have been chosen whatsoever, so I don’t know why Crisafulli would endorse her as candidate. She’ll lose easily here.

And as @Votante said, her Wikipedia page is incredibly short and of the three paragraphs in it, two of them relate to her previous controversies. It’s sad to think that her actions is basically what she is known for. What a dud.

@James I would say he chose her out of haste, knowing that a 14.8% margin in a heavily Labor-voting part of Brisbane was too much. If such a candidate was chosen for a key seat then it would be worse.

Oh and just to be clear, voted Coalition all my life. Abortions don’t cause breast cancer. Chances are we’ve all met a woman with breast cancer at some time in our lives or may even personally know one, and I’ve never personally heard anyone publicly declare that abortions cause cancer (I’ve seen people say it online but I’ve never spoken to anyone who’s said that).

@james

Nothing wrong with a strong conservative woman that opposes baby murder. She sounds way better then the childless husk of the ex premier who thought babies should be murdered after 22 weeks aka full term abortions.

And believing slander on Wikipedia that anybody could of written?!??!? Lol 😂

@james out of curiousity I went and had a read of the Wikipedia. There was nothing ‘agressive’ about her actions she dropped a witches hat on the ground whilst been heckled by left wing extremists from the electrical trades union for attending a function.

Like I said you can’t believe in all the slander you read on Wikipedia that anyone can write.

@nolnp & @NP – “Even as a Coalition supporter, she should not have been chosen whatsoever, so I don’t know why Crisafulli would endorse her as candidate.”

I strong dislike Ostapovitch and clarified that above. And @nolnp also please stop claiming I ‘believe slander on Wikipedia’. I was only saying the ‘it’s sad to think’ part because she would be seen as a shitbag, and I don’t wish that on anyone.

Does the leader choose all candidates in the LNP? Gee whiz, here was I thinking local branches chose their candidates.

@wilson it’s mostly done by local branch however the leader does make some captains calls

Hey “nolnp”, do you realise Palaszczuk had a miscarriage?

Dare ya to walk up to her and call her a “childless husk”. C’mon. Try it.

Your comment there is one of the most repulsive things I’ve ever read on the internet. Next time you walk past a mirror, look yourself in the eye. You’ll see an arsehole.

Nolnp it is clear you are brainwashed and I wouldn’t be surprised if you consider Trump a good individual.

LNP are picking Newman era candidates because they are trying to prove they haven’t really changed and don’t give a damn about selecting a good candidate.

Wouldn’t be surprised if the margin is around 9-12% after the election and will be one of the safest Labor seats.

@Daniel T only a few candidates were there when Campbell Newman was Premier. One example I can think of is the candidate for Cook, who was preselected in favour of other candidates.

@NoLNP are you seriously referring to someone as a “childless husk”? Come on, that’s not okay.

@bird of paradox – excellent depiction of ‘nolnp’. Full marks for you, mate.