ALP 6.7%
Incumbent MP
Nikki Boyd, since 2015.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Pine Rivers covers southern parts of Moreton Bay LGA, including Strathpine, Bray Park, Warner Dayboro, Mount Nebo, Samford Village and Mt Pleasant, and parts of Lawnton.
The seat of Pine Rivers first existed from 1972 to 1992. It was abolished in 1992 and restored in 2009. Ever since 1974 the seat has gone with the party of government.
Pine Rivers was held by the ALP’s Kenneth Leese from 1972 to 1974. The seat was held by Rob Akers from 1974 to 1983, when he lost to National candidate Yvonne Chapman. Chapman held the seat until her defeat in 1989. Chapman went on to serve as Mayor of Pine Rivers Shire from 1994 to 2008.
Margaret Woodgate won Pine Rivers for the ALP in 1989. When the seat was abolished in 1992 she moved to the seat of Kurwongbah. She served as a minister in the Goss government from 1995 to 1996. She retired in 1997.
Carolyn Male won the new seat of Glass House in 2001. She held the seat until 2009, when a redistribution changed the seat into a notional LNP seat. She then moved to the restored seat of Pine Rivers in 2009.
In 2012, Male retired, and Labor candidate Patrick Bulman lost to LNP candidate Seath Holswich.
Holswich lost to Labor’s Nikki Boyd in 2015. Boyd was re-elected in 2017 and 2020.
Assessment
Pine Rivers is a reasonably safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Nikki Boyd | Labor | 14,953 | 44.5 | +7.5 |
| Kara Thomas | Liberal National | 12,263 | 36.5 | +9.6 |
| Tara Seiffert-Smith | Greens | 3,148 | 9.4 | +0.6 |
| Christopher Leech | One Nation | 1,702 | 5.1 | -7.1 |
| Maureen Brohman | Animal Justice | 549 | 1.6 | +1.6 |
| Alissa Pattrick | Informed Medical Options | 427 | 1.3 | +1.3 |
| Bruce Vaschina | Independent | 326 | 1.0 | +1.0 |
| Steve Austin | United Australia | 250 | 0.7 | +0.7 |
| Informal | 1,115 | 3.2 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Nikki Boyd | Labor | 19,063 | 56.7 | +0.5 |
| Kara Thomas | Liberal National | 14,555 | 43.3 | -0.5 |
Booths in Pine Rivers have been divided into three areas: east, south and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 51.5% in the south to 59.6% in the east.
The Greens came third, with 8.5% in the east, and 17-18% in the south and west.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 8.5 | 59.6 | 5,779 | 17.2 |
| West | 17.1 | 59.0 | 1,435 | 4.3 |
| South | 18.2 | 51.5 | 1,292 | 3.8 |
| Pre-poll | 8.1 | 56.5 | 14,123 | 42.0 |
| Other votes | 9.3 | 55.8 | 10,989 | 32.7 |
Election results in Pine Rivers at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens.
LNP have preselected former serviceman Dean Clements as their candidate. It’s hard to know what I think of this seat whether the LNP are in with a shot or not. The fact they have preselected this seat early probably is a suggestion they think their in with a shot via their internal polling. And other seats that are considered ‘bell weather’ seats (Aspley, Mansfield, Springwood etc) haven’t been filled yet via preselection. Labor MP for Pine Rivers Nikki Boyd has recently been promoted into cabinet in a new Miles ministry.
Likely LNP pickup. Nikki Boyd is fairly young and looks like she has a whole career ahead of her. Seems like unlike many Labor MPs in the incoming batch or re-entering batch of 2015, she’ll stay on.
I wonder what kind of an impact Peter Dutton as Federal LOTO is having and whether it’ll influence the result in Pine Rivers.
I was meant to say – she would like to stay on. On second thoughts, this is in play or a toss-up.
@Votante
Boyd has only just been made a minister, which I think she has been hanging out for awhile. I wouldn’t think she would be retiring anytime soon, being young too.
LNP win, just. Boyd is a very active MP and now Minister, but the seat tends to swing with Government, so on this occasion I think LNP’s Dean Clements wins.
Boyd could come back and take the seat in 2028 or even challenge Dutton in Dickson.
LNP gain