ALP 12.2%
Incumbent MP
Curtis Pitt, since 2009.
Geography
Far North Queensland. Mulgrave covers the Queensland coast between Deeral and the southern suburbs of Cairns, including Gordonvale, Edmonton, White Rock, Woree and Bayview Heights. Mulgrave covers the Aboriginal Shire of Yarrabah and parts of the Cairns local government area.
History
The seat of Mulgrave has existed continuously since 1950. For most of that period it was dominated by the Country/National Party. Since 1989 it has been dominated by the ALP, although the seat has changed hands on a number of occasions.
The seat had been held by Country or National Party MPs continuously for the length of the party’s term in government from 1957 to 1989.
In 1989 the seat was won by the ALP’s Warren Pitt. He was re-elected in 1992 and briefly became a minister in the Labor government in early 1995, before losing his seat to the National Party’s Naomi Wilson at the 1995 election.
Wilson briefly served as a minister in 1998 before losing Mulgrave to One Nation’s Charles Rappolt at the 1998 election. Rappolt’s time in the Parliament was brief. He faced attacks over domestic violence allegations, and he resigned in late 1998.
At the 1998 by-election Warren Pitt won back Mulgrave, giving Peter Beattie a majority in the Legislative Assembly.
Pitt was re-elected in 2001. In early 2004 he was reappointed to the ministry. He served in the ministry until his retirement in 2009.
At the 2009 election Mulgrave was won by Pitt’s son Curtis Pitt. The younger Pitt has been re-elected four times. Pitt served as treasurer from 2015 to 2017 and has served as Speaker since early 2018.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Curtis Pitt is not running for re-election.
- Nicholas Daniels (Legalise Cannabis)
- Steven Lesina (Katter’s Australian Party)
- David Raymond (Independent)
- Peter Everett (Greens)
- Richie Bates (Labor)
- Terry James (Liberal National)
- Michael McInnes (One Nation)
- Leslie Searle (Family First)
- Ian Floyd (Independent)
- Yodie Batzke (Independent)
Assessment
Mulgrave is a safe Labor seat on paper, although Pitt’s departure might make Labor’s campaign more difficult.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Curtis Pitt | Labor | 14,254 | 49.9 | +1.8 |
| Gerry Vallianos | Liberal National | 7,341 | 25.7 | +2.9 |
| Attila Feher-Holan | Katter’s Australian Party | 3,395 | 11.9 | +11.9 |
| Francis Bartorillo | One Nation | 1,825 | 6.4 | -16.0 |
| Sue Cory | Greens | 1,772 | 6.2 | -0.5 |
| Informal | 1,256 | 4.2 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Curtis Pitt | Labor | 17,793 | 62.2 | +1.3 |
| Gerry Vallianos | Liberal National | 10,794 | 37.8 | -1.3 |
Booths in Mulgrave have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 62.5% in the south to 67.5% in the north.
Katter’s Australian Party came third, with a primary vote ranging from 11.1% in the north to 16.3% in the south.
| Voter group | KAP prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 11.1 | 67.5 | 3,670 | 12.8 |
| Central | 12.5 | 66.6 | 2,617 | 9.2 |
| South | 16.3 | 62.5 | 1,952 | 6.8 |
| Pre-poll | 12.2 | 61.1 | 15,132 | 52.9 |
| Other votes | 9.6 | 59.6 | 5,216 | 18.2 |
Election results in Mulgrave at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and Katter’s Australian Party.
@redistributed agreed. In my view, this will be the safest Labor seat to fall. Given that KAP are outright giving their preferences to the LNP (which I believe hasn’t ever happened before), the crime in Cairns being almost as bad as Townsville, and the loss of Curtis Pitt’s enormous personal vote.
LNP to narrowly get over the line thanks to KAP and One Nation preferences.