LNP 3.6%
Incumbent MP
Christian Rowan, since 2015.
Geography
Western Brisbane. Moggill covers the suburbs of Kenmore, Chapel Hill, Brookfield, Pullenvale, Bellbowrie, Karana Downs and Mount Crosby.
History
The seat of Moggill has existed since 1986, and in that time the seat has always been held by the Liberal Party, and now the LNP.
The seat was first won in 1986 by Liberal MP Bill Lickiss. He had served as Member for Mount Coot-tha since 1963. He retired at the 1989 election.
David Watson won Moggill in 1989. Watson had held the federal seat of Forde for the Liberal Party from 1984 to 1987. He served as a minister in the coalition government from 1996 to 1998, and served as leader of the Liberal Party from 1998 to 2001.
Watson retired in 2004, and was succeeded by Bruce Flegg.
Flegg led the Liberal Party into the 2006 election, and served as Liberal leader until December 2007. He won re-election for the Liberal National Party in 2009, and again in 2012. Flegg served briefly as a minister from March until November 2012. He was denied preselection for Moggill in 2014, and did not run for re-electon.
Moggill was won in 2015 by LNP candidate Christian Rowan. Rowan was re-elected in 2017 and 2020.
- Andrew Kidd (Greens)
- Eric Richman (Labor)
- Christian Rowan (Liberal National)
Assessment
Moggill is not as safe as it once was but should stay in LNP hands. It will be interesting to see if the Greens can overtake Labor, since this seat is contained within the federal Greens seat of Ryan, but it is the stronger LNP part of that seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Christian Rowan | Liberal National | 14,888 | 46.9 | -1.8 |
| Roberta Albrecht | Labor | 9,012 | 28.4 | +1.9 |
| Lawson Mccane | Greens | 6,536 | 20.6 | -0.3 |
| Bruce Mitchell | One Nation | 922 | 2.9 | +2.9 |
| Amy Rayward | Civil Liberties & Motorists | 395 | 1.2 | -2.7 |
| Informal | 546 | 1.7 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Christian Rowan | Liberal National | 17,016 | 53.6 | -1.4 |
| Roberta Albrecht | Labor | 14,737 | 46.4 | +1.4 |
Booths in Moggill have been divided into three areas: east, north-west and south.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in the south (51.3%) and north-west (59.2%) while the ALP won 52% in the most populous east. The LNP also won 54.7% on the pre-poll and other votes which made up 70% of the total turnout.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 27.3 | 48.0 | 4,648 | 14.6 |
| South | 20.8 | 51.3 | 3,169 | 10.0 |
| North-West | 22.6 | 59.2 | 1,419 | 4.5 |
| Other votes | 19.1 | 54.7 | 11,416 | 36.0 |
| Pre-poll | 18.9 | 54.7 | 11,101 | 35.0 |
Election results in Moggill at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party, Labor and the Greens.
@James it’s all factional deals. Plus it would look like a ‘parachute’ if he was run in Redcliffe.
Poll Bludger shows 4 candidates on the ballot in the order of LNP, Labor, Greens & One Nation.
also, the Greens candidate is a state high school teacher and Labor has endorsed an emergency department doctor who served as a medical officer in Afghanistan.
Greens to finish second, but LNP retain with a swing to them. This is one of the weaker parts of Ryan for the Greens.
Results of the 2022 federal election in Moggill by booth:
Liberal TCP (vs Greens):
* Bellbowrie: 54.1% (–12.3%)
* Brookfield: 60.9% (–10.4%)
* Chapel Hill: 51.5% (–12.0%)
* Chapel Hill South: 47.6% (–10.9%)
* Indooroopilly West: 40.2% (–9.8%)
* Kenmore: 51.3% (–8.2%)
* Kenmore South: 47.6% (–8.0%)
* Moggill: 49.5% (–8.4%)
* Pullenvale: 54.7% (–11.9%)
* Upper Brookfield: 43.9% (–10.9%)
@PRP & @A A – Makes sense. Another example would be Jo Briskey, Labor’s candidate for Maribyrnong (VIC) in 2025, who ran for Bonner (QLD) in 2019. Plus her father is Darryl Briskey, a former Labor MP for state Cleveland in QLD.