ALP 13.4%
Incumbent MP
Joan Pease, since 2015.
Geography
Eastern Brisbane. Lytton covers the Brisbane suburbs of Wynnum, Manly, Hemmant, Lota and part of Tingalpa, near Moreton Bay on the southern side of the Brisbane River.
History
The seat of Lytton has existed since 1972. Labor held the seat continuously from 1972 until 2012, and again since 2015.
Tom Burns won the seat in 1972. He served as Labor leader following the disastrous 1974 election, and led the party to an improved result in 1977, before stepping down as leader in 1978.
He was elected as Deputy Leader in 1984 and became Deputy Premier when the ALP won power in 1989. He retired as Deputy Premier and Member for Lytton in 1996.
The 1996 Lytton by-election was won by Paul Lucas. Lucas joined the ministry in 2004. In 2007 he became Deputy Premier.
In September 2011 he retired as Deputy Premier while continuing as Attorney-General, and then retired at the 2012 election.
In 2012, Labor candidate Daniel Cheverton lost to LNP candidate Neil Symes after a 13.8% swing. Symes lost in 2015 to Labor’s Joan Pease. Pease was re-elected in 2017 and 2020.
Assessment
Lytton is a safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Joan Pease | Labor | 17,067 | 52.2 | +3.3 |
| Gordon Walters | Liberal National | 9,955 | 30.5 | +6.1 |
| Ken Austin | Greens | 3,450 | 10.6 | -0.8 |
| Debra Smith | One Nation | 1,289 | 3.9 | -11.5 |
| Georgia Phillips | Informed Medical Options | 606 | 1.9 | +1.9 |
| Jonathan Spaits | United Australia | 321 | 1.0 | +1.0 |
| Informal | 856 | 2.6 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Joan Pease | Labor | 20,708 | 63.4 | +1.3 |
| Gordon Walters | Liberal National | 11,980 | 36.6 | -1.3 |
Booths in Lytton have been divided into four areas: central, east, north and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 61.5% in the east to 65.7% in the west.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 10.7% in the centre to 14.2%. in the east.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 13.3 | 63.0 | 2,706 | 8.3 |
| East | 14.2 | 61.5 | 2,573 | 7.9 |
| Central | 10.7 | 65.4 | 2,319 | 7.1 |
| West | 11.6 | 65.7 | 976 | 3.0 |
| Pre-poll | 9.4 | 62.9 | 15,662 | 47.9 |
| Other votes | 10.5 | 64.1 | 8,452 | 25.9 |
Election results in Lytton at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens.
Spoiler candidate for Wynnum Many ward Craig Moore has decided to run for this seat
Now This i did not know about
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13234691/amp/Craig-Moore-ex-porn-star-Queensland-political-candidate-campaign-slogan-hard-crime.html
Labor would be sweating on Lytton following the loss of Wynnum-Manly Ward to the LNP with a huge double digit swing.
I think they’ll hold on to Lytton but the swing could be around 10%. This falls into Bonner as well.
LNP gain, based on the current mood of Queenslanders in general and the results in Wynnum Manly. Surprised this isn’t a highly discussed seat.
NP, why do you keep correlating council elections to state? How many time do I have to say they don’t correlate, LNP always do better on the council than state and even federal. They gained the ward due to local issues in the council and vote splitting.
It’s like Central Brisbane ward goes LNP but the state seat is a Labor/Green marginal. You cannot compare council to state.
I do agree this would fall to Labor if it is a 2012 result again, but if the LNP are winning between 55-60 seats (modest majority and likely if the 55-45 poll comes true) rather than a wipeout 60-40 loss.
I suspect this will be marginal Labor after the election 2-5%
This is traditional inner city Labor seat of Tom Burns ex deputy premier under GOSS
Alp retain
@Daniel T if I recall correctly I’m pretty sure there was also a small swing to the LNP here federally. It’s one of those areas where the reason it’s moving away from Labor is unknown, but being a beachside area it could just be gentrification.
I do agree that they do better on the local level in Brisbane, but I still think the 13.4% margin may not be enough.
Np I can’t see lnp winning here would need a greater then avg swing. About the same they achieved in 2012.
@John they should at least win the Wynnum and Manly booths.