Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the 2024 Queensland state election. This guide includes comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2020 election, as well as maps and tables showing those results.
This entire guide is now unlocked for everyone to access.
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Table of contents:
Legislative Assembly seat profiles
Seat profiles have been produced for all 93 Legislative Assembly electoral districts. You can use the following navigation to click through to each seat’s profile.
Contact
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@ john
Maybe it should be censored on.the internet. Dangerous Material. Ha ha
Pick a quite time and you should be able to see it fine . overseas
Quiet
Can I ask that we have less of I think x will win in with. No factual information to back up claim.
Current opinion polls show alp to retain approx 30 seats. Ie they lose roughly 20. If as others are postulating they lose seats on higher margins than. 9% then they will retain seats on lower margins that is just pure maths.
On the basis of the polls I.would suspect alp 25 to 35 best. Which seats fall where is in the lap of the gods. People can argue but.no one really knows. Should Labor improve a couple of.percent then the sums will be.better. Also the extent that a.large swing occurs in a seat that does not change member will effect the inate sums. Eg a 13% swing.against Labor in.Warrego makes no difference to the tally.
@ a Jackson
See my latest post no one really knows except. With 9% swing you would not expect Labor to.hold Bundaberg all things being equal. The real guestimate is those 5 to 10% alp margins seats as some one else said they are the ” toss ups “
Reading The Australian today, front page David Crisafulli resigned as director of a training company 2 days after … something … something …
I stopped reading.
Elsewhere some journo reckons Albo’s house purchase is a good indicator he won’t contest the 2028 election.
I gave up.
If that’s what passes for Right Wing journalism, i’d be fearful of opening a left wing rag.
@Real Talk even Miles admits that coal royalties can’t/won’t be funding the school lunches, and the only they will be funded is by borrowing more and going further into debt.
@Scart
Thank you. I checked a couple of different sources and as you indicated it will be funded by borrowing. I was mistaken and appreciate the opportunity to be corrected. Apologies too to @John
Why do people believe the opinion polls over what we are actually hearing on the ground? Opinion polls are usually wrong by at least 2-3% so while in theory it could be a tight election, on the other end it’s a big landslide which is what most people on here are predicting including myself.
The early voting exit polls don’t lie, nor do the Queenslanders with chainsaws at the polling places, nor do the victims of youth crime.
Labor will fit their caucus into a London Taxi after the election, and I will eat my hat if I’m wrong.
The ECQ has added the daily voter count to the website. https://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/excel_doc/0031/84568/SGE-Daily-InPerson-Attendance_161024.xlsx
McConnel and Hervey Bay appear to be way above the average.
Dan Dan Dan
You are getting carried away… opinion polls are normally quiet accurate not 2 to 3 % out
There are good reasons to.be wary of the exit polls
See discussion on pollbludger.
Ps : bet you don’t wear a hat
McConnel and Hervey Bay appear to be way above the average.
Means the swing is on.
@Wilson I agree with you on conformity with Federal voting, but the perfect is the enemy of the good.
One of the particular problems in Queensland is that no-one can read a calendar, because when the legislation was changed to 4 year terms for the State the desirability of avoiding having both Council and State elections in the same year wasn’t discussed. Adding in a Federal election that comes around every three years means that once every 12 years we’ll have three elections in twelve months.
The informal rate for the Inala and Ipswich West by-elections almost doubled compared to the same seats in the 2020 election. Disenfranchising voters by confusing them should be avoided.
Personally I wouldn’t mind one Local Government three-year term just to break the cycle. That would put the elections roughly 18 months apart.
@Real Talk Mining companies ARE taxpayers, and mining royalties are NOT some type of magic pudding that can continue to provide cash for government thought bubbles.
Push them hard enough and eventually they’ll put their capital into somewhere or something else.
Much like investors are doing with the rental housing market.
@Mark Yore
Even better than a single three year term for local government would be two of them, followed by a reset to four years.
If we had a three year term in 2024-27, followed by 2027-30, it would then neatly place local government elections around halfway between the state terms. You could even align it perfectly by mandating the last Saturday in October for local elections, just as we do now for the state elections, so long as they were two years apart from each other.