LNP 15.8%
Incumbent MP
Bryson Head, since 2022.
Geography
Central Queensland. Callide covers regional areas inland from the central Queensland coast. The seat covers Biloela, Moura, Monto, Eidsvold, Mundubbera, Gayndah, Theodore, Taroom, Chinchilla, Calliope and Wandoan.
History
Callide was created at the 1950 election, and apart from a short period in the 1980s has always been dominated by the Country/National/Liberal National parties.
Vincent Jones held the seat for the Country Party from 1950 to 1971.
At the 1972 election the seat was won by the Country Party’s Lindsay Hartwig. Hartwig won further terms in 1974, 1977 and 1980. In 1981 Hartwig was expelled from the National Country Party. He won re-election in 1983 as an independent and retired in 1986.
Di McCauley held Callide for the National Party from 1986 until 1998.
In 1998, McCauley was succeeded by Jeff Seeney.
Seeney won re-election in 2001, 2004 and 2006, and after the 2006 election became Leader of the National Party.
In 2008, Seeney was replaced by his predecessor Lawrence Springborg, who led the Nationals into a merger with the Liberal Party later that year.
Seeney won re-election as a Liberal National candidate in 2009, 2012 and 2015.
In March 2011, Campbell Newman replaced John-Paul Langbroek as leader of the LNP. As Newman did not hold a seat in the Parliament, Seeney was appointed as interim parliamentary leader.
Jeff Seeney served as deputy premier in the Newman government, and moved to the backbench after the 2015 election.
Seeney retired in 2017, and was succeeded by Colin Boyce. Boyce was re-elected in 2020, but in 2022 resigned to successfully run for the federal seat of Flynn.
The subsequent by-election was won by LNP candidate Bryson Head.
- Matthew Passant (Greens)
- Chris O’Callaghan (One Nation)
- Samantha Dendle (Labor)
- Bryson Head (Liberal National)
- John Whittle (Family First)
- Duncan Scott (Independent)
Assessment
Callide is a safe LNP seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Colin Boyce | Liberal National | 16,608 | 57.2 | +23.8 |
| Gordon Earnshaw | Labor | 7,463 | 25.7 | +3.6 |
| Adam Burling | Independent | 2,444 | 8.4 | +8.4 |
| Loris Doessel | Independent | 1,371 | 4.7 | +4.7 |
| Anthony Walsh | Greens | 1,147 | 4.0 | +0.5 |
| Informal | 887 | 3.0 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Colin Boyce | Liberal National | 19,112 | 65.8 | |
| Gordon Earnshaw | Labor | 9,921 | 34.2 |
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Bryson Head | Liberal National | 13,059 | 50.3 | -6.9 |
| Bronwyn Dendle | Labor | 5,020 | 19.3 | -6.4 |
| Sharon Lohse | One Nation | 3,704 | 14.3 | +14.3 |
| Adam Burling | Katter’s Australian Party | 2,517 | 9.7 | +1.3 |
| Fabrice Jarry | Legalise Cannabis | 1,223 | 4.7 | +4.7 |
| Paula Gilbard | Animal Justice | 424 | 1.6 | +1.6 |
| Informal | 500 | 1.9 |
2022 by-election two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Bryson Head | Liberal National | 18,611 | 71.7 | +5.9 |
| Bronwyn Dendle | Labor | 7,336 | 28.3 | -5.9 |
Booths in Callide have been divided into three areas: east, north-west and south.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas at both the general election and the by-election.
2020 booth breakdown
| Voter group | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 60.5 | 3,490 | 12.0 |
| North-West | 64.9 | 2,494 | 8.6 |
| South | 73.8 | 2,054 | 7.1 |
| Pre-poll | 61.7 | 11,159 | 38.4 |
| Other votes | 70.9 | 9,836 | 33.9 |
2022 by-election booth breakdown
| Voter group | ON prim % | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 16.2 | 66.3 | 5,224 | 20.1 |
| South | 16.8 | 78.4 | 2,890 | 11.1 |
| North-West | 15.3 | 68.7 | 2,764 | 10.7 |
| Pre-poll | 13.9 | 70.3 | 9,021 | 34.8 |
| Other votes | 11.6 | 76.7 | 6,048 | 23.3 |
Election results in Callide at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party and Labor.
Election results at the 2022 Callide by-election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes the Liberal National Party, Labor, One Nation and Katter’s Australian Party.
Another easy win for the LNP, main competition would come from PHON or KAP if they put up a decent candidate. I can see Labor finishing third here.
ONP didn’t run a candidate last time. I’d expect them to come back into second place, above Labor.
Callide resident here – Labor is the default second place but anything actually happening here will only come from either:
– Adam Burling, Indy turned Katter turned Indy and now an elected councillor. If he runs he could do ok but I doubt he gets second
– “New Country Party” which I don’t think can register in time, but I’m sure a campaign like theirs (basically being back the nationals) will be popular here.
Based on the numbers of the divisions north of this electorate this will need a rename as callide creek will likely be moved into Mirani or gregory
I am interested to see if Labor does not make the 2CP here.
General feel is that One Nation is very unlikely to get to 2nd. They’ve put up a ridiculous amount of signs around the electorate but barely anyone on pre-polls. I think Labor will slightly increase from by-election