ALP 5.2%
Incumbent MP
Bart Mellish, since 2017.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Aspley covers the northern Brisbane suburbs of Bridgeman Downs, Carseldine, Aspley and parts of Bald Hills, McDowall and Chermside West.
History
The seat of Aspley has existed since 1960. For most of that period the seat was contested between the Liberal Party and the National Party, although Labor has won the seat at a number of elections over the last two decades.
Fred Campbell held the seat for the Liberal Party from 1960 to 1980. He was succeeded in 1980 by Beryce Nelson, who won the seat for the Liberal Party.
In 1983, Nelson lost to the National Party’s candidate, former newsreader Brian Cahill.
After losing the seat, Nelson switched to the National Party, and was elected again as Member for Aspley in 1986. In 1989, Nelson was again defeated, losing to the Liberal Party’s John Goss.
Goss helped the seat throughout the 1990s, twice serving as a shadow minister in National-Liberal coalitions.
In 2001, Goss was defeated by the ALP’s Bonny Barry. Barry won successive terms in 2004 and 2006, and in 2009 was defeated by the Liberal National Party’s Tracy Davis.
Davis was re-elected in 2012 and 2015, but lost in 2017 to Labor’s Bart Mellish. Mellish won a second term in 2020.
- Allan Hall (One Nation)
- Wayne Capell (Family First)
- Bart Mellish (Labor)
- Amanda Cooper (Liberal National)
- Fiona Hawkins (Greens)
Assessment
Aspley is a marginal Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Bart Mellish | Labor | 15,261 | 45.5 | +8.0 |
| Amanda Cooper | Liberal National | 13,579 | 40.5 | +0.8 |
| James Hansen | Greens | 2,997 | 8.9 | -0.5 |
| Walter Hardy | One Nation | 1,141 | 3.4 | -6.2 |
| Neil Skilbeck | Civil Liberties & Motorists | 305 | 0.9 | -0.5 |
| Joshua Morrison | United Australia | 247 | 0.7 | +0.7 |
| Informal | 711 | 2.1 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Bart Mellish | Labor | 18,494 | 55.2 | +4.0 |
| Amanda Cooper | Liberal National | 15,036 | 44.8 | -4.0 |
Booths in Aspley have been divided into three parts: north, south-east and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.8% in the south-west to 64.5% in the south-east.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-West | 53.8 | 3,921 | 11.7 |
| South-East | 64.5 | 3,028 | 9.0 |
| North | 63.4 | 1,051 | 3.1 |
| Pre-poll | 54.3 | 13,201 | 39.4 |
| Other votes | 53.6 | 12,329 | 36.8 |
Election results in Aspley at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal National Party.
No doubt the abortion issue lost this for the LNP. I know people who are from LNP families in this seat where their young daughters influenced by what they saw on tik tok voted labor over that one issue. LNP need to prove this was all BS and try and win those votes back next time.