ALP 5.3%
Incumbent MP
Duncan Pegg, since 2015.
Geography
Southern Brisbane. Stretton covers the suburbs of Kuraby, Calamvale, Drewvale, Stretton and parts of Runcorn and Sunnybank Hills, at the southern end of the City of Brisbane.
Redistribution
Stretton’s western boundary was aligned with Beaudesert Road. This involved Stretton gaining territory from Sunnybank and losing territory to Algester. These changes increased the Labor margin from 5% to 5.3%.
History
Stretton was created in 2001, replacing the seat of Sunnybank which had existed since 1992.
Labor’s Stephen Robertson held the seat of Sunnybank and then Stretton continuously from 1992 to 2012. He served as a minister in the Beattie/Bligh government from 1998 to 2012.
In 2012, Robertson retired, and Stretton was won by LNP candidate Freya Ostapovitch with a 19% swing.
Ostapovitch lost to Labor’s Duncan Pegg in 2015.
Candidates
- Shane Holley (One Nation)
- Anisa Nandaula (Greens)
- Shyamal Reddy (Independent)
- Freya Ostapovitch (Liberal National)
- Duncan Pegg (Labor)
Assessment
Stretton is a marginal Labor seat, but is only likely to change hands if the LNP wins a comfortable victory.
2015 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Duncan Pegg | Labor | 11,876 | 41.4 | +12.7 | 42.8 |
| Freya Ostapovitch | Liberal National | 10,884 | 37.9 | -8.9 | 37.9 |
| David Forde | Independent | 4,431 | 15.4 | -3.5 | 12.9 |
| Brian Sadler | Greens | 1,502 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 6.3 |
| Informal | 588 | 2.0 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Duncan Pegg | Labor | 14,386 | 55.0 | +14.5 | 55.3 |
| Freya Ostapovitch | Liberal National | 11,778 | 45.0 | -14.5 | 44.7 |
| Exhausted | 2,529 | 8.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Stretton have been divided into two areas: north and south.
The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in both areas: 60% in the south and 55% in the north.
The independent vote was over 18% in the south, and 6% in the north.
| Voter group | IND prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 18.6 | 60.2 | 9,055 | 35.6 |
| North | 6.1 | 55.2 | 5,508 | 21.6 |
| Other votes | 11.7 | 52.3 | 10,881 | 42.8 |
Election results in Stretton at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and independent primary votes.
Shane Holley did well in 2016 gaining an increase in vote for the KAP in the seat of Rankin. The only SE Qld seat where KAP increased its vote. His jump to One Nation may go against him here being with areas holding a quite strong social conservative vote. Cant see much changing here but if Shane polls well again then his vote and with compulsory preferential voting he may very well push the LNP Freya Ostapovitch over the line.
Stretton would be a real reach for the LNP.
TZ, Isn’t the Runcorn/Sunnybank area the home of Brisbane’s Asian community? Seems hard to credit One Nation doing well in a seat like this.
Mark MIUlcair is correct about the ethnicity of STretton.
Will they remember PH maiden speech and its support for the residential profile of Stretton.
“I believe we are in danger of being swamped by Asians. Between 1984 and 1995, 40 per cent of all migrants coming into this country were of Asian origin. They have their own culture and religion, form ghettos and do not assimilate”
It was only later that she directed her venom to a specified group of Semitic Asians.
Mark Mulcair………. Yes I agree and did say his move to One Nation may very well go against him.
It’s very nice to see One Nation putting a candidate forward in such a left leaning electorate. It’s going to be interesting come election day as there has been a sudden surge in conservatism from the local Chinese community in this electorate in response to a mosque being built on Underwood road. The Chinese are all rallying behind One Nation because it is the only party that is willing to stand up to the wahabbists who are trying to islamize the area. Hopefully the Chinese backing will be enough to get One Nation over the line. The other 3 parties need to stop arse kissing sxtremists and get back in touch with the people that vote for them.
However, after the one nation candidate visit the local mosque to show friendship I don’t know how many Chinese will actually vote for him.
ALP retain
@Someone Chinese voting for One Nation, a party that wants them out of the country? I needed a laugh after such an exhausting election. Thank you. Check out Pauline Hanson’s maiden speech in parliament in 1996 if you want further info I why I find this so funny. In saying that: Labor retain.