Murrumba – QLD 2017

ALP 6.3%

Incumbent MP
Chris Whiting, since 2015.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Murrumba covers southern parts of Moreton Bay local government area. It covers the suburbs of Rothwell, Mango Hill, Kallangur, Murrumba Downs, Castle Hill, Dakabin and Griffin, and parts of Rothwell and Narangba, all suburbs on the northern fringe of Brisbane.

Redistribution
Murrumba shifted south and west, losing North Harbour, Burpengary East, Deception Bay and North Lakes to the new seat of Bancroft. In exchange, Murrumba gained Dakabin, Kallangur, Murrumba Downs and Castle Hill from the seat of Kallangur. These changes cut the Labor margin from 7.4% to 6.3%.

History
The seat of Murrumba has existed continuously since 1912. It was held by the Country/National Party from 1918 to 1977, and has been held by the ALP continuously since 1977.

The seat was held by Frank Nicklin from 1932 to 1950, when he moved to the new seat of Landsborough. He served as Premier of Queensland from 1957 to 1968.

First David Nicholson and then Des Frawley were elected as Country Party MPs in Murrumba. In 1977 Frawley lost to the ALP’s Joe Kruger. Kruger held the seat until his retirement in 1986.

Dean Wells won Murrumba in 1986. He had previously served as federal Member for Petrie for 18 months from 1983 to 1984. Wells served as a minister in two successive Labor state governments: from 1989 to 1995 and from 1998 to 2004. Wells held Murrumba for nine terms from 1986 until 2012.

In 2012, Wells was defeated by LNP candidate Reg Gulley, who won with a 16.7% swing. Gulley lost his seat in 2015 by Labor’s Chris Whiting.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Chris Whiting is running for the new seat of Bancroft, which takes in areas formerly contained in Murrumba. Labor candidate Steven Miles is the sitting member for Mount Coot-tha, which has been abolished in the redistribution.

Assessment
Murrumba will likely remain in Labor hands.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Chris Whiting Labor 16,997 49.4 +17.0 48.8
Reg Gulley Liberal National 13,194 38.4 -10.7 40.4
Simone Dejun Greens 2,131 6.2 +1.3 8.9
Ray Hutchinson Family First 2,051 6.0 +0.3 1.9
Informal 767 2.2

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Chris Whiting Labor 18,934 57.4 +16.9 56.3
Reg Gulley Liberal National 14,079 42.6 -16.9 43.7
Exhausted 1,360 4.0

Booth breakdown

Booths in Murrumba have been divided into three areas: central, east and west.

The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 52% in the centre to 63.3% in the west.

Voter group ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
West 63.3 7,575 27.5
Central 52.0 6,151 22.3
East 56.2 3,241 11.7
Other votes 54.2 10,619 38.5

Two-party-preferred in Murrumba at the 2015 QLD state election

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