ALP 7.1%
Incumbent MP
Shane King, since 2015.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Kurwongbah covers southern parts of Moreton Bay LGA. It covers the suburbs of Petrie, Kurwongbah, Burpengary, Possum Rise, Joyner, Lawnton and parts of Narangba and Bray Park.
Redistribution
Kurwongbah is a new name for the seat of Kallangur. The seat shifted north-west, gaining Burpengary and Possum Rise from Morayfield on the seat’s northern border, gained Joyner, Lawnton, Bray Park and other areas on the southern and western boundaries from Pine Rivers. In exchange, Kallangur/Kurwongbah lost Dakabin, Kallangur, Murrumba Downs and Castle Hill to Murrumba. These changes increased the Labor margin from 6.1% to 7.1%.
History
Kallangur was first created at the 1992 election. It was won in 1992 by Ken Hayward. He had previously held the seat of Caboolture since 1986. He was appointed as a minister in the Goss Labor government in 1991, and served as a minister until the government lost power in 1996.
Hayward retired in 2009, and was succeeded by former union organiser Mary-Anne O’Neill, running for Labor.
In 2012, O’Neill was defeated by the LNP’s Trevor Ruthenberg. Ruthenberg held Kallangur until 2015, when he lost to Labor’s Shane King.
There was another seat which previously carried the name of Kurwongbah from 1992 until 2009. This seat was always won by Labor. Labor’s Margaret Woodgate switched to this seat when Pine Rivers was abolished in 1992, after holding the previous seat for one term since 1989. Woodgate retired in 1997, and the ensuing by-election was won by Labor candidate Linda Lavarch. She held Kurwongbah until the seat was abolished in 2009.
Candidates
- Karen Haddock (One Nation)
- Allan Cook (Liberal National)
- Rachel Doherty (Greens)
- Shane King (Labor)
- Thor Prohaska (Independent)
Assessment
Kurwongbah is likely to stay in Labor hands.
2015 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Shane King | Labor | 14,285 | 48.1 | +19.3 | 47.9 |
| Trevor Ruthenberg | Liberal National | 12,235 | 41.2 | -10.8 | 38.5 |
| Jason Kennedy | Greens | 3,166 | 10.7 | +2.8 | 7.7 |
| Palmer United Party | 2.4 | ||||
| Others | 2.3 | ||||
| Family First | 1.1 | ||||
| Informal | 763 | 2.5 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Shane King | Labor | 16,196 | 56.1 | +18.6 | 57.1 |
| Trevor Ruthenberg | Liberal National | 12,657 | 43.9 | -18.6 | 42.9 |
| Exhausted | 833 | 2.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Kurwongbah have been divided into north and south.
The Labor two-party-preferred vote was higher in the north (59.2%) as opposed to the south (56.9%) and the special votes (56.5%).
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 59.2 | 10,638 | 34.4 |
| South | 56.9 | 9,284 | 30.0 |
| Other votes | 56.5 | 11,031 | 35.6 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Kurwongbah at the 2015 QLD state election
Start the ball rolling with this. Interesting seat with One Nation preferences. LNP might go close
Got a feeling LNP will win this
Hi Ben, Can you please add a link to my campaign website:
http://www.kurwongbahreps.net/
Cheers, Thor
LNP gain
My local seat. Feeling on the ground is very much a swing against the local Member. Good local candidate for the LNP who will benefit from a decent showing from PHON.
Yes LNP candidate is excellent!! have never seen the ALP member, LNP will gain this as well as 3 others in the Moreton Bay RC area Bancroft, Murrumba, Redcliffe
LNP gain off PHON prefs.
Bern .. the way your predictions are going. you are expecting Labor to win about 20 seats.
I haven’t gotten to the second half yet, only up to M. Patience. I got Labor winning more than you think but not 47. However I do believe there is a danger of Labor doing a lot worse than predicted because of the closeness of seats but also they could do much better, Hardest election ever to predict.