LNP 25.93%
Incumbent MP
Ros Bates, since 2009.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Mudgeeraba covers the Gold Coast suburbs of Merrimac, Worongary, Mudgeeraba, Reedy Creek, the Robina Town Centre, and parts of Carrara. Mudgeeraba covers southern parts of the Gold Coast hinterland.
History
The seat of Mudgeeraba was first created at the 2001 election. The seat was held by the ALP from 2001 to 2009, and has been held by the Liberal National Party since 2009.
Dianne Reilly won the seat for the ALP in 2001. She was re-elected in 2004 and 2006, but lost to the LNP’s Ros Bates in 2009.
Bates was re-elected in 2012, and served as a minister from 2012 to 2013.
Candidates
- Benedict Figueroa (Palmer United)
- Ros Bates (Liberal National)
- Bill Sherwood (Independent)
- Chris Petersen (Family First)
- Georgi Leader (Labor)
- Roger Brisbane (Greens)
Assessment
Mudgeeraba is a safe LNP seat.
2012 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Ros Bates | Liberal National | 16,534 | 61.69 | +15.47 |
| Aaron Santelises | Labor | 4,753 | 17.73 | -21.10 |
| Sally Spain | Greens | 2,056 | 7.67 | +0.63 |
| Kevin Swan | Katter’s Australian | 2,056 | 7.67 | +7.67 |
| Barrie Nicholson | Family First | 1,402 | 5.23 | +1.41 |
2012 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Ros Bates | Liberal National | 17,707 | 75.93 | +22.01 |
| Aaron Santelises | Labor | 5,612 | 24.07 | -22.01 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Mudgeeraba have been split into two parts: north and south.
Both the LNP and Labor polled more highly in the north than the south. Family First and the Greens polled higher in the south than the north.
On a two-party-preferred basis, the LNP polled 76% in the north and 75.8% in the south.
The Electoral Commission does not publish two-party-preferred figures by polling place, so two-party-preferred figures in the following table and map are estimates.
| Voter group | LNP prim % | ALP prim % | LNP 2PP % | Total | % of votes |
| South | 60.93 | 17.66 | 75.76 | 13,615 | 50.80 |
| North | 62.52 | 18.21 | 75.98 | 5,569 | 20.78 |
| Other votes | 62.44 | 17.53 | 76.24 | 7,617 | 28.42 |
Easy LNP hold but she’s a dud MP.
Independent Bill Sherwood has a website here
http://voteforbill.org.au/
no forgone conclusion……….. 25% margin with 22% swing
That is interesting he, that is Bills Sherwood http://voteforbill.org.au/ says some good sensible things. Pity he is an independent ~ deserves good support.