LNP 25.48%
Incumbent MP
Vaughan Johnson, since 1989.
Geography
Western Queensland. Gregory covers a large amount of the Queensland outback, covering a small part of the Queensland-South Australia border. Gregory covers the local government areas of Barcaldine, Barcoo, Blackall-Tambo, Central Highlands, Longreach, Quilpie and Woorabinda, and parts of Isaac. The seat covers the towns of Blackwater, Emerald, Barcaldine, Longreach, Clermont, Aramac, Rolleston, Blackall and Quilpie.
History
The seat of Gregory has existed continuously since 1878. The seat has been held by the Country/National/Liberal National party since 1957.
Wally Rae held the seat for the Country Party from 1957 to 1974. Bill Glasson of the National Party then held the seat from 1974 to 1989.
Vaughan Johnson won the seat for the National Party in 1989. He has held the seat ever since.
Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Vaughan Johnson is not running for re-election.
- Bruce Currie (Independent)
- Ross Stockham (Katter’s Australian Party)
- Lachlan Millar (Liberal National)
- Norm Weston (Greens)
- Michael Linton-Helliar (Palmer United)
- Cheryl Thompson (Labor)
Assessment
Gregory is a very safe LNP seat.
2012 election result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Vaughan Johnson | Liberal National | 13,399 | 59.10 | -2.71 |
Jack O’Brien | Labor | 3,970 | 17.51 | -16.00 |
Pauline Williams | Katter’s Australian | 3,855 | 17.00 | +17 |
Bruce Currie | Independent | 831 | 3.67 | +3.67 |
Norman Weston | Greens | 617 | 2.72 | -1.96 |
2012 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Vaughan Johnson | Liberal National | 14,895 | 75.48 | +11.22 |
Jack O’Brien | Labor | 4,840 | 24.52 | -11.22 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Gregory have been split into three parts: central, east and west. Most of the seat’s population lies in the Central Highlands council area, at the eastern edge of the seat. Booths in this area have been split into “central” and “east”, and remainder was grouped as “west”.
The Liberal National Party topped the primary vote, ranging from 43.6% in the east to 66.8% in the west.
Labor came second, ranging from 16.3% in the west to 26.8% in the east.
Katter’s Australian Party came third, with a vote ranging from 10.9% in the west to 23.2% in the east.
Voter group | LNP prim % | ALP prim % | KAP prim % | Total | % of votes |
Central | 56.62 | 17.48 | 19.17 | 7,925 | 34.96 |
West | 66.75 | 16.26 | 10.90 | 3,991 | 17.60 |
East | 43.62 | 26.82 | 23.18 | 2,334 | 10.29 |
Other votes | 62.10 | 15.55 | 16.15 | 8,422 | 37.15 |
Katter’s Australian Party Website shows Ross Stockham KAP candidate for Gregory. I have heard through CQ friends that he is working hard in Emerald. Posters UP meetings held and Branch formed.
Andrew Jackson
apjackson@hotkey.net.au
2012 independent candidate Bruce Currie is running again
http://www.themorningbulletin.com.au/news/fighting-for-producers/2505749/
Bruce Currie has a Facebook page here
http://www.facebook.com/brucecurrieforgregory
Having lived in Gregory for the last two elections, I can confidently state that you could get a hybrid of Joh, Bob Menzies and John Howard to run for the ALP, and the locals would still vote the LNP guy in. Easy retain for the LNP, although the swing might be up to 10%, reflecting the loss of Johnson’s personal vote.
My prediction: Easy LNP retain.
What people don’t know is that Johnson has hurt a lot of people during his Parliamentarianship, both professionally and personally. A lot of people were happy to hear he was stepping down.