Cleveland – Queensland 2015

LNP 18.10%

Incumbent MP
Mark Robinson, since 2009.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Cleveland covers northern parts of Redland council to the east of the City of Brisbane. It covers the suburbs of Wellington Point, Ormiston, Cleveland and Thornlands, as well as North Stradbroke Island.

History
The seat of Cleveland was first created in 1992. It was held by the ALP continuously from 1992 to 2009, when it was won by the LNP.

Darryl Briskey was elected to Cleveland in 1992. He had first been elected as Member for Redlands in 1989. He held Cleveland from 1992 to 2006.

Phil Weightman succeeded Briskey as Member for Cleveland in 2006. He held the seat for one term, and in 2009 was defeated by the LNP’s Mark Robinson.

Robinson served as a shadow minister from 2010 to 2012. He briefly served on the backbench after the LNP won the 2012 election, before being elected as Deputy Speaker in May 2012.

Candidates

• Tracey Huges (Labor)
• Amanda White (Greens)
• Mark Robinson (Liberal National)

Assessment
Cleveland was Labor-held from 1992 to 2009. While the seat could well be won by Labor, they would probably need to achieve a clear win to gain Cleveland.

2012 election result

2012 two-party-preferred result

Booth breakdown
Booths in Cleveland have been split into three parts. Polling places on the mainland have been split into Cleveland in the south and Wellington Point in the north. There is also a small population that votes at three polling places on Stradbroke Island.

The Liberal National Party’s primary vote ranged from 59.1% in Stradbroke Island to 63.1% in Cleveland. On a two-party-preferred basis, the LNP majority ranged from 66.6% in Wellington Point to 68.9% in Cleveland.

Labor came second, with a primary vote ranging from 25.9% in Cleveland to 27.6% in Wellington Point.

The Electoral Commission does not publish two-party-preferred figures by polling place, so two-party-preferred figures in the following table and map are estimates.