The Tally Room

As we near the conclusion of 2017's election season, with the Bennelong by-election this weekend, I have finished my first major guide for 2018: for the South Australian state election on March 17. I have completed seat guides for all 47 electorates, as well as...

On Tuesday, I published estimates of the Senate vote at the 2016 federal election for the Nick Xenophon Team, broken down by South Australian state electorates. While writing that article, I became curious about whether the similar dataset (built by Alex Jago) for One Nation in...

The recent Queensland election produced a dilemma for us electoral analysts: polls suggested One Nation would perform strongly, but the party had no recent history of contesting seats in most of Queensland at state elections. We relied instead on the results of the 2016 federal...

I've been running this website now for just over nine years, and in that time I've put in thousands of hours of work, in particular making election guides and electoral boundary maps, more recently expanding into producing clean election results datasets free for use. A...

7:55 - I won't bother making any more updates now - once we have most of the results in I'll put together a booth breakdown and post that. 7:22 - No evidence so far that the voters of New England have judged Joyce harshly for...

Well that was an interesting election night! Almost one third of seats have a candidate other than Labor or the LNP in the top two, with a few others where a minor party is threatening for the top two. We also have numerous seats...

10:57pm - There won't be anymore to contribute here tonight. Please head over to the Guardian liveblog if you want to read more of my thoughts. I'll be back tomorrow with a Guardian piece, and will put something together for this website too. 9:46pm -...

Polls will open in 25 hours in Queensland and the comments threads have been lighting up here with people discussing each electorate. In particular there have been a few people posting their predictions on each seat guide. So I thought I would resurrect an old tradition...

In addition to the complete guide to this weekend's Queensland state election, I've now posted guides to the federal by-elections in New England (December 2) and Bennelong (December 16). Enjoy! Bennelong New England

10:25pm - As my last contribution for tonight, here is a map of the booth results and the Greens swing (which can be toggled). 8:23pm - I'm gonna turn off for a little while and will come back once most of the votes have reported. 8:22pm...