QLD, TAS & NT federal redistributions – estimates of margins
Ben Raue -
0
In recent months, federal redistributions have been completed for Tasmania, the Northern Territory and Queensland, with Queensland's being finalised on January 5.
As far as I can tell, no-one else has published margin estimates for the five Tasmanian seats and the two NT seats. Antony...
New year, new data
Over the break I've been working to expand the size of this website's data repository. If you're new to this, the repository publishes state and local election results that may not otherwise be available in an easy-to-access format.
I've added five more datasets over the...
Tasmania goes to the polls – March 3
It appears that the Tasmanian premier, Will Hodgman, will today call the state election for March 3. For the first time since 2002, the Tasmanian election won't coincide with the South Australian election, set for March 17.
Current polling suggests the Liberal majority government (holding...
Queensland federal redistribution finalised
Six Australian states and territories have been due for federal electorate redistributions during the current federal parliamentary term - we've already completed the process in Tasmania and the Northern Territory, and the process was well under way in Queensland.
It turns out that the final...
New dataset – Victorian 2014 election
I've got a new addition to the data repository - my collection of complete and clean election datasets. I've now posted the results of the 2014 Victorian state election. This dataset includes:
Candidate lists for both houses
Polling place list with latitude/longitude and full...
Bennelong – different swings but no big change
There wasn't much suspense in last night's by-election results - it was clear early on that Labor wasn't coming close to the swing they needed to win the seat. There was a sizeable swing (approximately 5.7% after preferences) which dented the Liberal margin. If...
Bennelong by-election live
Candidate
Party
Primary
Primary %
Swing
2PP votes
2PP %
2PP Swing
Tony Robinson
Liberty Alliance
623
0.86
0.86
Wesley Folitarik
Sustainable Australia
827
1.14
1.14
James Jansson
Science Party
902
1.25
1.25
John Alexander
Liberal
31,901
44.08
-9.23
39195
54.16
-5.66
Kristina Keneally
Labor
26,290
36.33
5.97
33172
45.84
5.66
James Platter
People's Party
149
0.21
0.21
Justin Alick
The Greens
5,000
6.91
-2.40
Anthony Ziebell
Affordable Housing
622
0.86
0.86
Anthony Fels
Non-Custodial Parents
116
0.16
0.16
Joram Richa
Conservatives
3,251
4.49
4.49
Gui Cao
Christian Democratic
2,299
3.18
-3.83
Chris Golding
Australian Progressives
386
0.53
0.53
11:20 - If you found this analysis useful, please consider signing up as a patron of this website. I'm...
Queensland election dataset – pre-poll voting keeps growing
I've just finished pulling together all of the data from the recent Queensland state election and have added it to my data repository.
This dataset includes:
List of candidates
List of electorates, with data on turnout and formality
List of polling places, including full address...
Tasmanian election 2018 – read the guide
The Tasmanian election is due to be held by May 2018 - and if the last three elections are any guide, the election will likely be held in March.
In addition to the South Australian guide posted on Monday, I've now completed a similar guide...
Nick Xenophon’s vote – does it hit Labor or Liberal harder?
Last week, I posted data showing the Nick Xenophon Team vote at the 2016 Senate election broken down by state electorate.
In the process of completing my guide to the South Australian state election, I noticed the trend in terms of which seats popped up...