QLD, TAS & NT federal redistributions – estimates of margins

In recent months, federal redistributions have been completed for Tasmania, the Northern Territory and Queensland, with Queensland's being finalised on January 5. As far as I can tell, no-one else has published margin estimates for the five Tasmanian seats and the two NT seats. Antony...

New year, new data

Over the break I've been working to expand the size of this website's data repository. If you're new to this, the repository publishes state and local election results that may not otherwise be available in an easy-to-access format. I've added five more datasets over the...

Tasmania goes to the polls – March 3

It appears that the Tasmanian premier, Will Hodgman, will today call the state election for March 3. For the first time since 2002, the Tasmanian election won't coincide with the South Australian election, set for March 17. Current polling suggests the Liberal majority government (holding...

Queensland federal redistribution finalised

Six Australian states and territories have been due for federal electorate redistributions during the current federal parliamentary term - we've already completed the process in Tasmania and the Northern Territory, and the process was well under way in Queensland. It turns out that the final...

New dataset – Victorian 2014 election

I've got a new addition to the data repository - my collection of complete and clean election datasets. I've now posted the results of the 2014 Victorian state election. This dataset includes: Candidate lists for both houses Polling place list with latitude/longitude and full...

Bennelong – different swings but no big change

There wasn't much suspense in last night's by-election results - it was clear early on that Labor wasn't coming close to the swing they needed to win the seat. There was a sizeable swing (approximately 5.7% after preferences) which dented the Liberal margin. If...

Bennelong by-election live

Candidate Party Primary Primary % Swing 2PP votes 2PP % 2PP Swing Tony Robinson Liberty Alliance 623 0.86 0.86 Wesley Folitarik Sustainable Australia 827 1.14 1.14 James Jansson Science Party 902 1.25 1.25 John Alexander Liberal 31,901 44.08 -9.23 39195 54.16 -5.66 Kristina Keneally Labor 26,290 36.33 5.97 33172 45.84 5.66 James Platter People's Party 149 0.21 0.21 Justin Alick The Greens 5,000 6.91 -2.40 Anthony Ziebell Affordable Housing 622 0.86 0.86 Anthony Fels Non-Custodial Parents 116 0.16 0.16 Joram Richa Conservatives 3,251 4.49 4.49 Gui Cao Christian Democratic 2,299 3.18 -3.83 Chris Golding Australian Progressives 386 0.53 0.53 11:20 - If you found this analysis useful, please consider signing up as a patron of this website. I'm...

Queensland election dataset – pre-poll voting keeps growing

I've just finished pulling together all of the data from the recent Queensland state election and have added it to my data repository. This dataset includes: List of candidates List of electorates, with data on turnout and formality List of polling places, including full address...

Tasmanian election 2018 – read the guide

The Tasmanian election is due to be held by May 2018 - and if the last three elections are any guide, the election will likely be held in March. In addition to the South Australian guide posted on Monday, I've now completed a similar guide...

Nick Xenophon’s vote – does it hit Labor or Liberal harder?

Last week, I posted data showing the Nick Xenophon Team vote at the 2016 Senate election broken down by state electorate. In the process of completing my guide to the South Australian state election, I noticed the trend in terms of which seats popped up...