The Tally Room

3:01 - This is my last comment for now. I'll be working on the boundary map over the weekend and plan to return by Monday with some more analysis. I just wanted to zoom out to the big picture. Two extra seats were created today,...

Since last week's post, I have published seven more guides. This includes the next five most marginal federal seats, as well as one donor request each for the Victorian and NSW state elections. The federal seats are: Forde Flynn Robertson Banks Petrie I've also published guides...

As flagged earlier this week, I've now started work on the guides to the next federal election, along with the upcoming state elections in New South Wales and Victoria. I threw it open to those people donating to my Patreon to nominate seats they wished...

Now that the elections of March are mostly concluded, I've shifted my focus to my guides to the federal election and the state elections in Victoria and New South Wales. There won't be many elections in the next few months, so the front page of...

This is quite a long analysis of the SA Best performance at yesterday's state election. If you stick with it I've included a chart comparing SA Best to the Nick Xenophon Team in 2016, and at the end there's a map! Enjoy. Expectations were very...

There's been a lot of chatter about SA Best and their impact on the SA election, and I will return to them in my next post, but I wanted to focus here on the actual result. The overall result saw a change of government,...

Batman by-election results Candidate Party Primary Primary % Swing 2PP votes 2PP % 2PP Swing Yvonne Gentle Rise Up Australia 1895 2.56 2.56 Ged Kearney Labor 31226 42.22 8.01 39483 53.38 2.1 Alex Bhathal Greens 30470 41.19 5.57 34483 46.62 -2.1 Kevin Bailey Conservatives 4724 6.39 6.39 Tegan Burns People's Party 358 0.48 0.48 Debbie Robinson Liberty Alliance 957 1.29 1.29 Teresa Van Lieshout Independent 875 1.18 1.18 Adrian Whitehead Independent 617 0.83 0.83 Mark McDonald Sustainable Australia 737 1 1 Miranda Smith Animal Justice 2107 2.85 1.42 Primary booths reporting: 44/52 2CP booths reporting: 44/52 Last updated at: 23:06 11:23pm - As for South Australia, the Liberal Party has won government,...

Polls have now opened in the South Australian state election and the federal Batman by-election, and will be opening in the state by-election in Cottesloe within the next half-hour. This post is mostly to provide a place to discuss today's events, but I did want...