The Tally Room

While I've been focused on the NSW state election I've missed the start of the Northern Territory's redistribution of the 25 electorates for the local Legislative Assembly. This is the third in a series of three posts analysing the prospects for redistributions, with the...

While we're all focused on the federal election and the recent NSW state election, a number of redistributions have been kicked off for Western Australian state elections and the territory Legislative Assemblies in the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory. I've already analysed...

I've been compiling booth maps of a bunch of the closest races. I have two more to post for Coogee and Upper Hunter. I don't have a lot to say about these maps, but wanted to share them. Firstly Upper Hunter, a marginal Nationals seat...

Lismore has turned out to be one of Labor's only gains at the recent state election. Labor outpolled the Greens on primary votes by 1.42%, which is expected to be enough to hold on after preferences, producing a two-party-preferred outcome of 51.5%. The neighbouring seat...

The Shooters had a really good election result, but didn't do it thanks to a big sweeping vote across the state. At the moment they are on track for about one quota in the upper house. Yet thanks to the kinds of seats they...

The inner west of Sydney has been a key battleground at NSW state elections since at least 2003, when the Greens first made a serious attempt to win the seats of Port Jackson and Marrickville. Yet something has changed this year, with the focus...

One of the defining moments of the New South Wales election campaign was Labor leader Michael Daley's recorded comments from 2018 about people in Sydney being squeezed out by Asia migrants. At the time there was speculation about how this would affect the Labor vote...