Victoria and federal candidates update

Now that we're past Wentworth, I wanted to revisit the election guides I have posted for the federal and Victorian state elections. There are a whole bunch of extra candidates on both guides (particularly Victoria), and I have also listed all the candidates in spreadsheets...

How marriage equality was won – the demographics of yes and no

I will be giving a talk at a conference on the one-year anniversary of the marriage law postal survey at ANU in November, and for this talk I've put together a paper analysing the strongest demographic correlations which can help explain who voted which...

Kerryn Phelps and council countbacks

A story in the Sydney Morning Herald this morning discussed how Kerryn Phelps would keep up doing both her jobs as a City of Sydney councillor and federal MP if (as expected) she comes out the winner in last weekend's by-election. The article explores some...

Podcast #10 – Wentworth results wrap-up

Ben talked to Peter Brent in a mini-episode about yesterday's Wentworth by-election. Some links if you want to read more about the by-election: Ben's post about Sharma's recovery on pre-poll and postal votes Ben's article in the Guardian about how Sharma came back from defeat...

Wentworth – wait just a minute

EDIT 6:44PM: We've now got new figures for both Bellevue Hill and Bondi Beach. In both cases we saw the preference flow to Kerryn Phelps increase significantly, and between the two of them Phelps' 2CP lead has increased by almost 1000 votes. It now...

Wentworth wrap-up – Liberals destroyed in heartland

Tonight's election result was very clear. A massive swing against the Liberal Party has pushed the Morrison coalition government into a minority position, with Dave Sharma losing a seat held by the conservative major party since federation, despite a 17.7% margin built up by...

Wentworth by-election live

9:33 - I'm going to end this liveblog here. We now have primary vote figures from all ordinary booths, and are just missing the 2CP data from Bondi Beach. We will also be waiting for pre-poll and postals to be reported, presumably most of...

Wentworth election day open thread

Polls have just opened in the federal by-election in the seat of Wentworth in the eastern suburbs of Sydney. I'll be back at 6pm to cover the results, but until then enjoy this open thread. You may like to read my guide to today's by-election.

No podcast this week

Apologies for this, I was planning to publish a podcast today about the Wentworth campaign and Victoria but some technical issues mean it won't be happening. I plan to put out a post-by-election podcast this Sunday then we'll be back in two weeks with...

New website design

Some of my more committed readers may have noticed that this website was unavailable late on Saturday night. Basically an attempt to install a new mobile theme screwed up the website and it took some time to fix the damage. This prompted me to realise...